000
FXUS64 KAMA 240616
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
116 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

.AVIATION...
Scattered line of convection moving through the western Panhandles
will create some uncertainty on impacts to the terminals. Convection
has moved out of KDHT and should remain so through the overnight
hours. The line will likely impact KGUY and may impact KAMA within
the first 6 hours of this cycle. Once this convection moves east of
the terminals it should stay east of the terminals through the end of
this TAF cycle. Light winds from the south are also expected during
the daylight hours on Saturday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 315 PM CDT FRI SEP 23 2016/

SHORT TERM...Tonight through Saturday Night...
See previous discussion below.

LONG TERM...Sunday through Friday...
The cold front looks to be fully through the area by Sunday afternoon
as it will be moving quickly. It will bring gusty winds with it as
well during the day. As the upper level trough moves off to the east,
some energy gets pinched off and will form a closed low in the
southwest US. Models start to disagree on Sunday in timing of this
happening and continue getting further apart in consensus through
the week. The low will retrograde as high pressure builds into Texas
from Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms might linger around the area
Monday and then as the high pressure builds in, Tuesday through
Friday are mostly dry. By Wednesday night, the closed low ejects out
over the Rockies and brings a small chance for some showers in the
southeast Panhandle. After that, ridging builds in further and keeps
the area dry.

Beat

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

14/15