Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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449
FXUS64 KAMA 270954
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
454 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Noteworthy items are limited for this forecast package, but will try
to highlight some of the more interesting developments during the
next 7 days.

A cold front will stall out across the Texas Panhandle this
afternoon before pushing through late Saturday night. Height rises
are pretty impressive behind the front at about 10-15 mb/6 hrs, for
mainly central and western parts of the Panhandles. This will create
a strong pressure gradient across the forecast area in the evening
hours. Wind speeds Saturday night will be around 25 to 35 mph for
central and western parts of the Panhandles while gusting in the 35
to 45 mph range before calming down around midnight. That being
said, it will still be breezy overnight with most areas around 20 to
25 mph sustained. With the frontal passage we also have a small
chance for rainfall across northern/northwestern parts of the
forecast area, mainly north of I-40.

After Saturday, we have several chances for rainfall again beginning
Monday and going through the week. Models are not in good agreement
through the work week, so confidence is somewhat low. There is a
little agreement between the European the GFS Wednesday through
Thursday for QPF output, but overall the extended has many factors to
limit confidence for rainfall coverage and timing.

Outside of today, temperatures will be pretty close to normal
through the rest of the seven days. Today`s highs will range greatly
across the panhandles with the cold front sitting across the Texas
Panhandle. Look for highs to range anywhere from the mid-to-upper
70s for northern parts of the forecast area...to the upper 90s
across the southern and southeastern parts of the Texas Panhandle.
For far southeastern areas, in and around the Wellington area, dont
be surprised if it gets to 100 degrees this afternoon.

Guerrero

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                92  53  79  53  83 /   0  10   5   5  10
Beaver OK                  87  54  81  51  85 /  10  20   0   0   5
Boise City OK              78  48  74  48  79 /  10  30   5   5  20
Borger TX                  91  56  80  56  84 /   5  10   5   5  10
Boys Ranch TX              91  54  80  52  84 /   0  10   5   5  10
Canyon TX                  93  53  79  52  83 /   0  10   5   5  10
Clarendon TX               95  55  80  53  83 /   5  10   5   5   5
Dalhart TX                 85  51  77  49  81 /   5  20   5   5  20
Guymon OK                  83  52  78  50  83 /  10  20   0   0  10
Hereford TX                93  53  80  52  83 /   0  10   5   5  10
Lipscomb TX                91  57  80  53  85 /   5  10   0   0   5
Pampa TX                   91  53  78  53  83 /   5  10   5   5  10
Shamrock TX                98  58  80  54  85 /   5  10   5   5   5
Wellington TX             100  59  82  56  86 /  10  10   5   5   5

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$



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