Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
FXUS64 KAMA 251655 AAB
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1155 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017
Winds will gradually come around to a southeast direction this
evening at speeds between 8 and 12 knots. Winds will then pick up
Sunday morning as they become more southwest. Skies should remain
VFR with only high clouds increasing. Any rainfall across the
north should hold off until after this forecast.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 553 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017/
12z Issuance...The last of some lingering low clouds are exiting
the far eastern zones resulting in widespread VFR and mostly clear
skies across the Panhandles. Breezy winds will stay out of the
northwest for most of the morning and decrease to around 10 knots
this afternoon. Winds will gradually shift to the south by this
PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 531 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017/
Weather across the OK and TX Panhandles should be rather tranquil
today and tonight as brief upper level ridging translates across
the srn high plains.
The next storm system slated for Sunday appears to be tracking
just a bit further south compared to previous model runs, with
the 00Z NAM model the farthest south with the projected path.
The majority of the models do continue to suggest the primary
precipitation shield will likely remain north and east of the TX
and OK Panhandles. However, given the possibility of a slightly
further southern track to this storm system, have opted to spread
pops southward on Sunday afternoon to encompass all of the OK
Panhandle as well as the far northern TX Panhandle. A dry cold
front will also track through the area on Sunday with northwest
to north winds in the breezy category.
A short break in the active weather pattern is anticipated Monday.
Another vigorous upper level low pressure system is forecast to
impact the srn high plains Tuesday through Wednesday night.
Medium range models continue to disagree some on the projected
path and speed of this particular storm system. Have continued to
lean towards a model consensus with all weather elements
associated with this storm system pending better model agreement.
Finally, medium range models are hinting at yet another upper
level low pressure system possibly affecting the OK and TX
Panhandles late next Friday and Saturday, the details of which
have yet to be ironed out.