Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 232010
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
210 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
TWO UPPER TROUGHS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE MAIN AXIS OF THE SECOND UPPER TROUGH EXITING
THE FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING. BAND OF RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THROUGH 00Z MONDAY AND MODELS
INDICATING DRIER CONDITIONS AFTER 00Z MONDAY. THE LATEST HRRR...THE
TTU-WRF...THE NAM...THE GFS...THE ECMWF AND THE GEM ALL FORECASTING
THE PRECIP ENDING ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AFTER 00Z MONDAY. DRIER
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW EARLY THIS WEEK FOLLOWED BY A MORE ZONAL
UPPER FLOW BY THANKSGIVING DAY. MODELS HAVING A TOUGH TIME WITH THE
NEXT COLD FRONT LATER IN THE WEEK. THE COLD FRONT BACKDOORS INTO THE
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA ON THANKSGIVING DAY BUT THEN
SOME MODELS WASH OUT THIS FRONT BY FRIDAY AND SOME MODELS LIFT THE
FRONT BACK TO THE EAST AS A WARM FRONT BY FRIDAY. EITHER
WAY...SURFACE FLOW RETURNS TO THE SOUTH AND WEST BY THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND AS SURFACE TROUGH DEEPENS ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES DURING
THE LATTER HALF OF THIS WEEK. IT APPEARS UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS ARE IN STORE FOR THE PANHANDLES AT THIS TIME FROM
THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                26  49  21  53  26 /  10   0   5   0   0
BEAVER OK                  24  51  21  51  24 /  10   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              21  52  19  52  26 /  10   0   5   0   0
BORGER TX                  28  51  24  53  28 /  10   0   5   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              26  50  21  53  24 /  10   0   5   0   0
CANYON TX                  25  52  21  54  25 /  10   0   5   0   0
CLARENDON TX               30  53  25  53  27 /   5   0   0   0   0
DALHART TX                 19  52  17  52  23 /  10   0   5   0   0
GUYMON OK                  23  54  21  52  23 /   5   0   5   0   0
HEREFORD TX                24  52  20  55  26 /  10   0   5   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                25  52  22  53  26 /  10   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   27  48  22  49  27 /  10   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                28  56  25  53  27 /   5   0   0   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              30  58  26  54  28 /   5   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...COLLINGSWORTH...DALLAM...DEAF
     SMITH...DONLEY...GRAY...HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HEMPHILL...
     HUTCHINSON...LIPSCOMB...MOORE...OCHILTREE...OLDHAM...
     POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...SHERMAN...WHEELER.

OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BEAVER...CIMARRON...TEXAS.


&&

$$

01/11





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