Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 200521
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1221 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF Cycle

The Amarillo TAF site should see VFR conditions at least
initially. However, low cloudiness is expected to begin developing
after 08Z to 10Z today resulting in possible MVFR ceilings until
around 14Z to 16Z today. VFR conditions should then return after
16Z today. Otherwise, both the Guymon and Dalhart TAF sites should
see VFR conditions through 06Z Wednesday. Upslope light
southeasterly winds 5 to 15 knots or less will become south to
southwest 10 to 20 knots after 14Z to 16Z today and then become
southeast to south again 10 to 20 knots after 00Z to 01Z
Wednesday.

Schneider

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 523 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2017/

AVIATION...
Southeast winds should prevail overnight at speeds of 10 knots or
less. Southerly winds will pick up to around 15 knots with higher
gusts by late in the morning on Tuesday. Skies are expected to
remain VFR. However, some showers or thunderstorms may be moving
toward the DHT and GUY TAF sites just beyond this forecast.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 507 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Little change to the weather pattern from what was seen on
yesterday`s numerical weather models. Short and medium range
models are in decent agreement that an upper level ridge of high
pressure will situate itself over the southwest states through
most of this week while an upper level trof of low pressure
persists over the Great Lakes and eastern states. This places our
fcst area in some semblance of northwest flow aloft which is
usually favorable for steering tstorms into our region from sern
CO and nern NM. Have incorporated slgt chc to low end chc pops for
several periods from Tuesday through the end of this fcst cycle
based on latest model consensus. Well above normal temperatures
will also return to the OK and TX Panhandles on Wednesday and
Thursday before another cold front moves across the area on
Friday with cooler temps for the upcoming weekend.

Andrade

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

11/24



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