Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 180530

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1230 AM CDT Sun Jun 18 2017

06Z TAF Cycle

North and northeast winds will increase to around 20 to 30 knots
and then 25 to 35 knots with gusts approaching 40 knots through
about 14Z to 16Z today and then winds will diminish to around 15
to 25 knots or 10 to 15 knots after 14Z to 16Z today from the
northeast and east. Winds will then become east and southeast
after 20Z today to 00Z Monday 5 to 15 knots or less. VFR
conditions are expected to gradually become MVFR as low cloudiness
develops after 08Z to 11Z today but then becoming VFR after 14Z to
16Z today at all three TAF sites.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 600 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017/

A strong cold front will push through the TAF sites overnight.
Winds could gust up to around 40 knots. An aviation weather
warning may be required for the AMA site. We will watch the latest
data and decide later this evening if one needs to be issued. The
winds will gradually decrease Sunday morning. Low clouds in the
MVFR range are expected at the DHT and AMA TAF sites behind this
cold front, but they will dissipate Sunday morning as well.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 524 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017/

For tonight, a cold front will plow southward across the OK and TX
Panhandles with strong north winds in its wake. Wind speeds may
reach into wind advisory criteria for a few hours behind this
boundary, and a wind advisory may become necessary for parts of
the fcst area. Slgt chc pops for tstms were retained in the
eastern OK Panhandle for the evening hours. Cooler temperatures
will encompass the area for Sunday, with some slight warming
foreseen on Monday.

Short and medium range models suggest an upper level ridge of high
pressure will situate itself over the southwest states through
much of next week while an upper level trof of low pressure
persists over the Great Lakes and eastern states. This places our
fcst area in some semblance of northwest flow aloft which is
usually favorable for steering tstorms into our region from sern
CO and nern NM. Have incorporated slgt chc pops from Tuesday
through Wednesday night for this package based on latest model
consensus. Above normal temperatures will also return to the area
by the middle of next week.



.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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