Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46

000
FXUS64 KAMA 242135
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
435 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Very few departures from theme of earlier forecast.  Have lowered
pops a bit tonight across the western one third of the forecast area,
as this area seems least likely to experience much in the way of
moisture return.  Pacific cold front over eastern zones at this time
expected to move slowly westward this evening before being overtaken
by much stronger polar front.  This second front will make an early
arrival, sweeping through the Panhandles between 07z and 13z Sunday.

Have allowed for morning thunder with and behind polar front, with a
few afternoon showers possible Sunday afternoon and Sunday night
across far southern sections.  Brisk northeast winds and clouds
Sunday will keep highs at or below 70 degrees Fahrenheit most
sections, with the north central part of the area reaching the mid-
70s owing to expected earlier clearing.

Northeast winds continue on Monday, although at much more tolerable
speeds.  Cool again with highs in the upper-60s to mid-70s. Two
chilly mornings expected Monday and Tuesday, with lows mostly in the
40s.  Modifying airmass yields highs in the mid-70s to lower 80s
Tuesday, with highs mostly in the lower- to mid-80s thereafter.

Dry weather expected Monday through Wednesday night as weak flow
aloft prevails between departing shortwave trof to the east and
cutoff closed 500 mb low over southwestern CONUS.  By Thursday,
southwest flow aloft resumes with mid- and lower-level moisture
return commencing.  Low pops Thursday through Saturday as flow
gradually strengthens.

Cockrell

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                59  69  49  69  47 /  30  30  10  10   5
Beaver OK                  56  73  47  74  49 /  50  10   5   0   0
Boise City OK              51  69  42  70  46 /   5   0   5   0   0
Borger TX                  60  71  51  72  50 /  30  20  10  10   5
Boys Ranch TX              56  71  47  72  47 /  20  20   5  10   5
Canyon TX                  60  69  49  68  47 /  30  30  10  10   5
Clarendon TX               62  68  53  70  50 /  50  50  20  10   5
Dalhart TX                 53  69  45  71  44 /   5   5   5   5   5
Guymon OK                  55  74  45  73  48 /  20   5   5   0   0
Hereford TX                59  69  50  68  47 /  20  30  20  10  10
Lipscomb TX                60  71  49  73  48 /  60  20   5   0   0
Pampa TX                   60  67  50  70  49 /  40  30  10  10   5
Shamrock TX                63  67  53  71  50 /  60  50  10  10   0
Wellington TX              65  69  54  72  52 /  70  60  20  10   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

07/03



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.