Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 280445
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1045 PM CST Sun Nov 27 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions to prevail for the next 24 hours for all terminals.
Winds will remain aob 14kt through the overnight hours before
increasing once again tomorrow during the late morning hours. Winds
will also take a slight shift out of the northwest. Winds should
diminish once again after sunset Monday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 723 PM CST Sun Nov 27 2016/

UPDATE...
The wind advisory was allowed to expire at 00Z as winds had decreased
below advisory criteria. Updated zones and HWO already sent.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 512 PM CST Sun Nov 27 2016/

DISCUSSION...
The thick cloud cover has given way to enough sunshine for temps to
reach into the 60s and even some 70s. Gusty southwest winds have also
been busy today with gusts up to 50 mph at times. As the surface low
continues to rotate away from the area, the pressure gradient will
relax and the winds will calm down overnight. The upper level trough
associated with the system will keep meandering around the Great
Plains for the beginning of the work week. This will keep our temps
mild and the weather dry. A cold front Tuesday will keep a bit of a
chill in the air with northerly winds, but the front looks to have a
dry passage. The interesting time frame will be the end of the
work week into the weekend as a trough digs far into the Baja
Peninsula and cuts off from the main flow. Arctic air looks to push
into the Panhandles and the first chance at wintry precip looks to
be in site. The current thinking would be for the southeast area to
start off with some rain and then as moisture continues surging
northward as the low comes closer, and the air gets cooler overnight,
the rain would transition to snow. It would be unlikely for the snow
to transition back to rain, so think that if a secondary push of
moisture enters the area Saturday night, it would likely come in the
form of flurries. Models are trending drier with the secondary push,
so will keep monitoring the trend.

Beat

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

14/99



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