Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 010926
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
426 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AS DECAYING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
CONTINUES ITS SLOW SOUTHEAST MOVEMENT.  LOW THUNDERSTORM POPS KEPT
FOR THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS AS MODEST CONVERGENCE
ALONG SURFACE TROF MAY LEAD TO DEVELOPMENT.  LOW POPS KEPT FOR
TONIGHT AS THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY MIGRATE
EASTWARD AND BE SUSTAINED BY WEAK RIPPLES IN MID-LEVEL FLOW.

MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXPECTED TO REBUILD BACK INTO THE AREA TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT KEEPING PANHANDLES
DRY.  MODELS NOT IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...BUT
MODEL CONCENSUS SUGGESTS LOW CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS RESUMING IN
NORTHWEST AND NORTH SECTIONS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT RESUMES.  LOW POPS ARE SPREAD EASTWARD ON SUNDAY AS FLOW
ALOFT STRENGTHENS.

COCKRELL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                83  58  87  61  89 /  10  20  10   5   5
BEAVER OK                  84  62  89  63  89 /  10  20   5   5   5
BOISE CITY OK              85  56  90  57  88 /  20  20  10   5   5
BORGER TX                  86  62  89  65  90 /  10  20  10   5   5
BOYS RANCH TX              88  60  91  61  93 /  20  20  10   5   5
CANYON TX                  83  58  87  60  90 /  20  20  10   5   5
CLARENDON TX               82  58  87  60  88 /  10  20  10   5   5
DALHART TX                 86  57  91  58  91 /  20  20  10   5   5
GUYMON OK                  86  61  90  61  91 /  10  20  10   5   5
HEREFORD TX                86  58  90  60  92 /  20  20  10   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                81  62  86  64  86 /  10  20  10   5   5
PAMPA TX                   81  59  85  61  86 /  10  20   5   5   5
SHAMROCK TX                80  60  85  61  85 /  10  20  10   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              83  61  87  61  89 /  10  20  10   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

06/03




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