Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 140450 AAB
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1150 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

.AVIATION...
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AT NORTHERN TERMINALS.
DEVELOPMENT OF SAME NOT EXPECTED BEFORE 08Z MONDAY AT KAMA.  SURFACE
WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 40 KT THROUGH THE NIGHT...AND WILL BEGIN TO
BE LESS STRONG BY LATE MORNING MONDAY.  LIFR VISIBILITIES EXPECTED AT
NORTHERN TERMINALS DURING SNOW SHOWERS.  SOME IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED
DURING THE LATE MORNING WITH CEILINGS LIFTING BACK INTO MVFR RANGE.
ABRUPT CLEARING EXPECTED DURING AFTERNOON.  LIGHT WEST WINDS EXPECTED
AFTER SUNSET MONDAY.

COCKRELL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 652 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014/

AVIATION...
NORTH SURFACE WINDS CURRENTLY GUSTING TO AROUND 35 KT...AND ARE
EXPECTED TO GUST INTO THE 40 TO 45 KT RANGE BEGINNING LATE THIS
EVENING WITH SUCH CONDITIONS CONTINUING ALL NIGHT.  AVIATION WEATHER
WARNING FOR GUSTS ABOVE 40 KT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KAMA FROM 06Z
MONDAY THROUGH 11Z MONDAY.

MVFR CLOUD LAYER EXPECTED TO MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH THIS EVENING WITH
LIGHT PRECIPITATION COMMENCING AROUND 03Z OR 04Z.  SUFFICIENT COOLING
OF ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN FOR TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW EXPECTED TO OCCUR AT
04Z...05Z...AND 06Z AT KGUY...KDHT...AND KAMA RESPECTIVELY.  LIFR
CEILINGS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT THESE SAME AFOREMENTIONED TIMES.
CEILINGS EXPECTED TO LIFT INTO MVFR RANGE AROUND 16Z OR 17Z MONDAY.

STRONG DOWNWARD MOTIONS IN WAKE OF DEPARTING SHORTWAVE TROF CAUSES SKY
TO BECOME CLEAR AROUND 19Z TO 21Z MONDAY...WITH SURFACE WINDS DIMINISHING
TO AROUND 20 TO 25 KT.

COCKRELL

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 351 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014/

DISCUSSION...TODAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY

VERY FEW CHANGES WERE NEEDED TO THE GOING FORECAST WITH THE ONLY
REAL CHANGES OF NOTE MADE TO ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT/MON
MORNING, EXPAND HARD FREEZE WARNING BY A FEW COUNTIES TO THE EAST
TONIGHT, AND ISSUE A HARD FREEZE WATCH FOR MONDAY NIGHT.

TONIGHT...
PRECIP CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS MAINLY THE NRN
PANHANDLES. PRECIP STILL LOOKS AS THOUGH IT COULD BEGIN AS A BIT OF
RAIN BEFORE QUICKLY TRANSITIONING TO POSSIBLY A BRIEF PERIOD OF
SLEET, BEFORE THE PREDOMINANT PRECIP TYPE OF SNOW IS REALIZED IN
MOST PLACES BY AROUND OR JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GOING AMOUNTS SEEM TO
STILL BE VALID WITH THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY LOOKING TO BE ON
TRACK. SEE OUR FACEBOOK OR YOUTUBE PAGES FOR MORE GRAPHICAL INFO ON
THIS.

EXPANDED THE HARD FREEZE WARNING TO INCLUDE OCHILTREE AND BEAVER
COUNTIES TONIGHT AND ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR AREAS NOT IN THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AS THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS STRONG
WORDING ABOUT THE WINDS ALREADY.

MONDAY...
HAVE STAYED ON THE COLD SIDE OF GUIDANCE WITH A RAW MID APRIL DAY ON
TAP. ANY LINGERING SNOW SHOULD QUICKLY PEEL OUT OF THE AREA MON
MORNING.

MONDAY NIGHT...
THIS NIGHT LOOKS LIKE IT COULD BE EVEN COLDER THAN TONIGHT AND HAVE
ISSUED A HARD FREEZE WATCH TO ACCOUNT.

TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
GOING FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH A WARM UP AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WED NIGHT. AFTER A COOL DAY THU...ANOTHER WARM UP SHOULD BE IN
STORE FOR FRI INTO THE WEEKEND. GOING SLIGHT CHCS FOR PRECIP WED
NIGHT AND THU STILL LOOK REASONABLE AS A SHRTWV PASSES.

SIMPSON

FIRE WEATHER...

ELEVATED TO POSSIBLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE...NEITHER ELEVATED NOR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

SIMPSON

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...HARD FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...
     HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HUTCHINSON...MOORE...OCHILTREE...
     OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...SHERMAN.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: DALLAM...HANSFORD...HARTLEY...OCHILTREE...SHERMAN.

     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COLLINGSWORTH...DONLEY...GRAY...HEMPHILL...LIPSCOMB...
     ROBERTS...WHEELER.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ARMSTRONG...CARSON...COLLINGSWORTH...DEAF SMITH...DONLEY...
     GRAY...HEMPHILL...HUTCHINSON...LIPSCOMB...MOORE...OLDHAM...
     POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...WHEELER.

OK...HARD FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BEAVER...CIMARRON...TEXAS.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BEAVER...CIMARRON...TEXAS.


&&

$$

03/05





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