


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
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466 FXUS65 KGJT 262333 AFDGJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 533 PM MDT Thu Jun 26 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Warm and dry conditions dominates the forecast through the weekend. - An influx in moisture leads to increasing precipitation chances early next week. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... Issued at 220 PM MDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Dry and calm conditions are expected through the short term as high pressure builds. Dry air has moved in after yesterday`s showers and thunderstorms, and looks to remain in place over the coming days. As a result, no precipitation is in the forecast for the remainder of the workweek. Despite afternoon relative humidity values in the single digits, critical fire weather conditions are generally not expected as afternoon wind gusts will be weaker with the building high pressure. However, localized stronger gusts may allow for red flag conditions in spots. Temperatures will gradually warm to 5 to 10 degrees above normal by the weekend. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 220 PM MDT Thu Jun 26 2025 This weekend a ridge of high pressure builds over the region causing temperatures to rise 5-10 degrees above normal. For the most part conditions will remain dry although models are hinting at the return of moisture as a cold front moves from the Northern Rockies out over the Plains. The front pushes moisture in from the north and it may be enough for isolated showers in the afternoon. The other pocket of moisture will be confined along the Front Range so that may support showers along the Divide. On Monday a shortwave along the California coast begins to move inland. This along with the high pressure will increase southerly flow and ultimately advect deeper moisture in the from the south and east. This should cause the coverage of showers and storms to increase across the forecast area. Models are struggling with how to handle the shortwave to our southwest. Whether this wave is progressive or stalls out, which is a common problem with these systems. Therefore the details uncertain, but with the moisture in place afternoon convection is looking more likely Tuesday through Thursday. The thing to also watch is the potential for shortwaves across the northern tier of the country as they can send weak fronts into the region that disrupt the moisture and temporarily displace it to the south. The increased moisture should cause a slight decrease in temperatures mid to late week. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 533 PM MDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Some 25-30 mph gusts are showing up around portions of the region, primarily at terminals near the I-70 corridor like KEGE, KRIL, and KCNY. Similar gusts are possible tomorrow afternoon, but winds overnight are likely to be calmer. Otherwise, few to scattered mid-level cloud cover is lingering over higher elevations, and we are at VFR conditions region- wide. && .GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CO...None. UT...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...GF LONG TERM...KJS AVIATION...TGJT