Area Forecast Discussion
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398
FXUS64 KLUB 221707
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1207 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.AVIATION...
Continued VFR with southerly winds of 8-12 knots.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 338 AM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016/

SHORT TERM...
Another largely uneventful day is forecast for the end of the work
week. A strong upper level ridge will retreat westward and flatten
in response to a progressive short wave trough moving across the
US/Canada border. However, similar thickness values will result in
nearly identical temperatures to yesterday if not slightly warmer.
Monsoon moisture will remain to the west of the region but will
begin to bend more eastward onto the high Plains.

LONG TERM...
The center of the upper ridge is forecast to shift westward over
the next few days. Although the changes in the upper air pattern
are subtle, a more southeast flow in the lower levels of the
atmosphere by Monday should allow the total precipitable water
values to increase enough that isolated thunderstorms will be
possible. Have made few changes to previous forecast which calls
for afternoon high temperatures to peak over the next couple days
and then fall back 4 or 5 degrees to the mid or upper 90s next
week. The forecast continues to mention low rain chances most days
next week.

&&

.LUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

93



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