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000
FXUS64 KLUB 232328
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
628 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.AVIATION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms around the region will
continue affecting all terminals into the early nighttime hours.
While VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF cycle
brief drops to MVFR and even IFR are possible as heavier
thunderstorms move over terminals. Prevailing winds will be out of
the southeast less than 10 mph but thunderstorm gust fronts may
temporarily make wind directions variable up to 35 knots.
Thunderstorm coverage is expected to drop overnight with more
thunderstorm chances possible tomorrow afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 323 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to build up, gust out
and pop up again and will continue through the rest of the
afternoon and evening hours. PWATS remain higher than normal for
this time of year and we expect another similar day of spotty
showers and thunderstorms for Monday before the upper level ridge
begins to slowly migrate westward while the surface high pressure
expands across the region.

We`ll see a drier pattern build in across much of our forecast
area beginning Tuesday as the upper level ridge slowly migrates
westward. Seasonable temperatures on the Caprock for the most part
with warmer than normal temps to the east off the Caprock through
the week. Signals for showers and thunderstorms across the extreme
southwest Panhandle and farther north remain in the guidance due
to slowly improving monsoon fetch as the upper level ridge shifts
westward through the weekend and deeper progressive trough to the
east tries to push a cold front through our region Sunday or
Monday. Scaled down high pops provided by guidance for next
weekend leaving mostly slight chances across our area until we see
more consistency as the week passes.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

51/99/99