Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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FXUS64 KLUB 131735
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1135 AM CST Mon Nov 13 2017

.AVIATION...
Low ceilings with IFR conditions are expected to continue
through the morning and early afternoon hours before a period of
MVFR ceilings develop later this afternoon. Expect IFR ceilings
to set in again by 03z Tuesday with visibility issues possible at
all three terminals during the overnight through the hours
surrounding sunrise Tuesday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 313 AM CST Mon Nov 13 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Upper level flow will remain zonal for much of the week
with the progressive pattern but sensible weather will be more
influenced by surface features. Today will start off like the
previous few mornings with low status and patchy fog. Weak
isentropic lift will allow for light precipitation this morning,
falling as drizzle with the best chance over the Rolling Plains.
Expect drizzle to clear by the afternoon and skies to clear by
Tuesday as surface lee troughing develops across the southern High
Plains. A surface low over the Panhandles will move southeast as a
cold front moves through Wednesday. Cloudy skies may return briefly
on Wednesday behind the cold front, but the bulk of the moisture
will stay well to the east. Rain chances Wednesday reflect model
guidance with higher chances to to the east in the Rolling Plains,
though kept PoPs below mentionable values for now. Winds will be
gusty from the west on Friday as a shortwave trough moves out of the
Rockies. As westerly surface winds increase there will be a
downsloping warming component that will increase temperatures
Friday to about 15 degrees above normal, in the upper 70s. That
combined with RH in the teens will result in fire weather concerns
for Friday. A cold front will move through late Friday bringing
drier air with dewpoints reaching the teens by Saturday. Lighter
winds and cooler temperatures with highs near 60 should help to
decrease fire weather concerns for the weekend.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/55



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