Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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FXUS64 KLUB 221721 AAB

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1121 AM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours. Breezy
northwest wind at KCDS and KPVW will continue through the
afternoon then gradaully become light out of the northwest after



.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 309 AM CST Mon Jan 22 2018/


The upper level low over Kansas will slowly move off to the east
today and upper level ridging will build in on Tuesday. The pressure
gradient will remain fairly tight today, with 850 mb winds around
50 kts in the northeast part of the CWA. Expect these winds to
mix down with surface winds 20-25 kts this afternoon. Winds will
drop off quickly after sunset as the upper low moves off to the
east and will generally be light through Tuesday night. Surface
lee troughing will develop Wednesday afternoon shifting winds
around to the southwest and the downsloping component will help to
warm temperatures a few degrees on Thursday. A shortwave trough
will develop over Northern Mexico mid week with a weak upper low
moving over the South Plains on Thursday. A broad upper level
trough will translate across the Northern Plains Friday to
Saturday with a cold front pushing through Friday night into
Saturday morning. Overall a dry week with seasonal temperatures.

Elevated fire weather conditions will continue
today. While RH will be 10-20% this afternoon across the CWA, the
highest wind speeds will be limited to a few northeastern
counties. Have issued a Fire Danger Statement for this area where
low end critical conditions may develop this afternoon. Wind
speeds will drop off quickly after sunset.




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