Area Forecast Discussion
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249
FXUS64 KLUB 270457 AAB
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1157 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours. Jordan

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 643 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016/

AVIATION...
VFR conditions are in place and will continue through the next 24
hours.

Jordan

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 216 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016/

SHORT TERM...

The upper low that brought some rain to the South Plains area over
the weekend continues to retrograde away from the region and is
located over Baja California as of early this afternoon. However,
one last piece of energy rotating ejecting from this low across
Chihuahua will try to push mid level cloud cover back over the
southern part of the forecast area this evening. This could have an
effect on overnight low temperatures, and will thus run a bit
warmer than MOS there while closer to MOS for the remainder of the
area. Upper level ridging building northward over the region on
Tuesday will help rid us of the mid cloud leaving light winds and
high temperatures just a bit below normal.

LONG TERM...

We begin with a weakening upper level low working its way up the
Baja of California and a rather strong low over the Great Lakes
Region, with the Central Plains stuck in the middle. The ensuing
steep ridge between those features will keep our weather fair. The
Baja low will essentially wash out as it moves toward the Great
Basin by Thursday, and the Great Lakes low looks to send us a weak
back door front. Other than slightly cooler temperatures on
Thursday, FROPA should be a non-event. As the weekend progresses,
the ridge giving us our fair Fair weather will begin to break down
into more zonal flow in response to the next storm system entering
the Pacific NW. By early next week rain chances may creep back in,
but there are many model runs yet to come to flesh out this scenario.

&&

.LUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

14/14/14



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