Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS64 KLUB 251704
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1204 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR NEXT 24 HOURS. CHECK DENSITY ALTITUDE.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 227 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2015/

SHORT TERM...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH REMAINS FIRMLY CENTERED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS MORNING AND THIS FEATURE REMAIN PUT THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. A MINOR RIPPLE WILL TRANSLATE FROM THE SAN JUANS OF CO INTO
THE EASTERN PART OF THAT STATE.  THIS FEATURES TO HAVE ENOUGH
STRENGTH TO TRIGGER CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE.  WHILE THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE THAT A STORM
COULD FIRE ACROSS THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST..CHANCES ARE TOO LOW FOR
EXPLICIT MENTION.  OTHERWISE...CONTINUED HOT AND DRY.

LONG TERM...
00Z MODEL RUN CONTINUES WITH A PROGGED EVOLUTION OF THE WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS AS SEEN THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING TO REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF THE CONUS
WHILE AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS SRN CANADA AND THE NRN TIER
OF THE CONUS NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL CAUSE THE CENTER OF THE UPPER
HIGH TO INITIALLY SHIFT EWD TO THE OZARKS WHILE THE TROUGH MOVES
OVER THE PACIFIC NW...THEN THE RIDGE REBUILDS OVER THE ROCKIES
ONCE THE TROUGH SHIFTS TO ONTARIO...QUEBEC...AND THE GREAT LAKES
STATES. EFFECT FOR THE FCST AREA WILL BE TO CONTINUE SEASONABLY
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK FOLLOWED
BY A PERIOD WHERE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REENTER THE FCST AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT EDGES INTO THE SRN PLAINS ON THE STRENGTH OF NWLY FLOW
OVER THE CENTER OF THE NATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        68  95  68  94 /   0   0   0  10
TULIA         68  95  69  94 /   0   0   0   0
PLAINVIEW     69  94  69  94 /   0   0   0   0
LEVELLAND     68  96  70  95 /   0   0   0   0
LUBBOCK       71  96  71  95 /   0   0   0   0
DENVER CITY   68  97  71  96 /   0   0   0   0
BROWNFIELD    69  97  71  96 /   0   0   0   0
CHILDRESS     74 101  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
SPUR          73  99  73  98 /   0   0   0   0
ASPERMONT     74 100  77  99 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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