Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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FXUS64 KLUB 211116
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
516 AM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR next 24 hours. A cold front will bring breezy conditions to
all sites this morning with speeds relaxing late this afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 343 AM CST Tue Nov 21 2017/

DISCUSSION...
The upper level ridge currently parked over the West Coast will
continue to amplify today. As this occurs, a shortwave will travel
southeastward along the eastern edge of the ridge and cross just
north of the area. This will result in a surface "cold" front moving
through the region around day break this morning. Behind the front
winds will turn northeasterly and increase. By the afternoon winds
between 15 and 20 mph can be expected with gusts as high as 30 mph.
High temperatures today and tomorrow will be slightly cooler than
yesterday thanks to the cold front but, still warmer than typical
November high temperatures. The warmer than normal high temperatures
and continued dry environment will make for another elevated Fire
Weather day. It looks like RFD criteria won`t be met but the HWO
will have more specific highlights.

Southwesterly winds at the surface and NW flow aloft settles in for
Turkey day and Friday. This will pattern will help ramp high
temperatures up to the upper 70s by Friday (10 degrees above
normal). Saturday afternoon another surge of shortwave energy is
sent down the lee side of the West Coast ridge as another surface
low crosses through the area. This will usher another cool front
through the the region. Thus, high temperatures will fall a few
degrees closer to normal on Saturday but still remain above normal
for this time of year. The latter part of the weekend into early
next week looks dry and warm as the upper level ridge starts to
flatten and the upper level flow becomes more zonal.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/26



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