Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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FXUS64 KLUB 132320
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
620 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions to persist through Thursday. Isolated TS across
northeastern New Mexico again this evening will, similarly to last
night, have a mainly southerly component to their movement. This
will keep them to the west of the terminals.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 331 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017/

DISCUSSION...

The area will remain under the upper ridge for the next few days
as the axis slides east. Temperatures will remain above normal
with highs in the upper 90s to near 100 on Thursday. As the ridge
moves further east on Friday highs will be slightly lower in the
low to mid 90s. The upper low over California will open as it
moves east through the weekend. Moisture with the associated
trough may reach the northwest part of the CWA so included a
slight chance of thunderstorms for the weekend.

Global models still differ with a tropical system over Baja
California. The GFS is showing a plume of moisture reaching north
into the area early next week while the ECMWF is drier. Included a
slight chance of thunderstorms for much of the area Monday and
Tuesday. The models are in better agreement with deep trough
extending across much of the western US through mid next week.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

07



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