Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KTSA 040735
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
235 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS FRONTAL ZONE LIES CLOSE TO THE RED
RIVER THIS MORNING. A WNW TO ESE ORIENTED BAND OF CONVECTION
CONTINUES NORTH OF THE FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN OK. THE LATEST SHORT
TERM HI RES DATA SUGGESTS THAT THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY SINK DOWN TO ALONG OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER BY THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY. BY AFTERNOON...SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OK OVER INTO
WESTERN AR...WITH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY GENERALLY LESS THAN
YESTERDAY. AS IT APPEARS NOW...FOURTH OF JULY FESTIVITIES IN THE
EVENING SHOULD BE GOOD TO GO IN MOST PLACES. SHOWER AND STORM
CHANCES INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY IN A WAA
REGIME WITH RETREATING BOUNDARY.

QUIET WEATHER WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY NIGHT AND FOR MOST OF THE DAY
MONDAY. THE NEXT FRONT WILL BRING HIGHER RAIN/STORM CHANCES MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY...TAPERING OFF AS WE HEAD TOWARD THE MIDDLE TO
LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

A MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD ALOFT OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES
BY NEXT WEEKEND...MAINTAINING HOT AND DRY WEATHER. FORTUNATELY IT
DOES NOT APPEAR THE RIDGE WILL BE HERE TO STAY FOR LONG.

LACY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   90  72  89  75 /   0  30  50  10
FSM   88  71  89  73 /  20  20  50  10
MLC   88  73  88  75 /  30  30  40  10
BVO   90  70  89  74 /   0  30  40  10
FYV   85  68  86  71 /  20  10  40  10
BYV   83  67  86  70 /  20  10  30  20
MKO   88  71  88  73 /  10  30  50  10
MIO   88  69  88  73 /  10  20  40  10
F10   87  72  88  74 /  20  30  50  10
HHW   88  72  89  74 /  40  40  30  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....30


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.