Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 291724
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1224 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Flying conditions are expected to be in the MVFR to IFR range
through the majority of the forecast period as numerous showers
and thunderstorms with heavy rain affect the region through
Sunday morning.



&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1049 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Quasi-stationary boundary currently extends from southwest
Missouri to near KMKO into south-central Oklahoma. Showers
and thunderstorms producing very heavy rain continue to stream
to the northeast in the vicinity of this boundary this morning.
Additional elevated showers and thunderstorms are occurring across
central Oklahoma as the mid-level low over New Mexico provides
the lift.

Very Heavy rain with the potential for life threatening flooding
is expected this afternoon into the evening as the frontal boundary
slowly moves to the east as the southerly-southwesterly flow aloft
assures abundant moisture. An additional 4 to 6 inches of rain will
be possible with locally highers amounts generally east of highway
69 in Oklahoma. Lesser amounts are expected across northeast Oklahoma,
along and north of Interstate 44.

Severe weather will also be possible this afternoon and
early evening in association with the frontal boundary as it slowly
moves east. Damaging winds, large hail and QLCS tornadoes
will all be possible.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for OKZ049-053>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for ARZ001-002-010-011-
     019-020-029.

&&

$$

AVIATION...10



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