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000
FXUS64 KTSA 080948
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
348 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED INTO NE OK AND WILL CONTINUE SOUTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE DAY WITH TEMPS FALLING ONCE THE FRONT PASSES.
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND BOTH ALONG AND BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT...THOUGH OVERALL PRECIP AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN RATHER
LIGHT. TEMPS ARE LIKELY TO COOL ENOUGH FOR LOCATIONS NEAR THE
OK/KS BORDER TO SEE A SLEET/SNOW MIX HOWEVER LITTLE TO NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE PRECIP ENDS. SFC HIGH SETTLES
OVER THE REGION ON SUNDAY PROVIDING A PLEASANT EARLY SPRING DAY.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL OFFER TEMPS WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE
AREA AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY DEVELOP ON MONDAY BEFORE
HUMIDITIES BEGIN TO INCREASE. THE NEXT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY...BUT NOT BEFORE TEMPS WARM
QUICKLY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS KEEP MOISTURE
DEPTH TOO SHALLOW AND TEMPS ALOFT TOO WARM FOR ANY
CONVECTION...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY AS THE TROUGH AXIS PASSES. WEDNESDAY TEMPS WILL BE
SHARPLY COLDER GIVEN THE PRECEDING WARM DAYS.

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT LOOKS TO AMPLIFY THROUGH THE PLAINS FOR MID
TO LATE WEEK...WITH FREQUENT FRONTAL PASSAGES LIMITING MOISTURE
RETURN AND THUS A DRY FORECAST CONTINUES. TEMPS MAY VARY
CONSIDERABLY AS THE REGION REMAINS IN THE ZONE BETWEEN MUCH WARMER
TEMPS SOUTHWEST AND MUCH COOLER TEMPS NORTHEAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   40  28  55  38 /  90  10   0   0
FSM   54  39  54  42 /  80  60  10  10
MLC   48  33  54  39 /  70  20  10  10
BVO   38  24  54  31 /  90  10   0   0
FYV   49  30  53  36 /  80  60  10  10
BYV   48  30  52  41 /  90  60  10  10
MKO   44  31  54  39 /  80  20  10   0
MIO   40  26  53  38 / 100  30   0   0
F10   42  30  55  39 /  70  10  10   0
HHW   54  38  55  40 /  60  60  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07