Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 091023
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
423 AM CST MON DEC 9 2013

.DISCUSSION...
A BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND POSSIBLY FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE A BIT FASTER THAN
PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED SO WILL ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR
THE KANSAS BORDER COUNTIES FROM NOON UNTIL MIDNIGHT WHERE THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW WILL BE.

SKIES WILL CLEAR BEHIND THE SYSTEM LATER TONIGHT AND SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS TUESDAY WILL BEGIN THE LONG AWAITED THAWING
PROCESS. HOWEVER...ANOTHER COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY WILL SLOW THIS
PROCESS DOWN SOME.

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY AND WILL GENERALLY BE A RAIN MAKER. A BRIEF PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN MAY BE POSSIBLE AT THE ONSET OF THE EVENT BUT THIS
IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS POINT IN TIME.

TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY WARM BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS OVER THE
WEEKEND. THE ECMWF WANTS TO DELIVER ANOTHER GLANCING BLOW OF COLD
AIR BY NEXT SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY BUT WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND
SEE ON THIS. OTHERWISE...IT LOOKS LIKE WE MAY BE LOOKING AT WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES LATER NEXT WEEK.

STAYED CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS EXCEPT
DID NOT GO NEARLY AS COLD AS THE GFS MOS FOR LOWS TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   27  14  37  22 /  40  40   0   0
FSM   33  20  36  23 /  10  10   0   0
MLC   32  14  37  22 /  10  10   0   0
BVO   25   9  36  16 /  60  40   0   0
FYV   29  12  35  18 /  10  30   0   0
BYV   28  11  34  21 /  10  50   0   0
MKO   29  13  36  21 /  10  20   0   0
MIO   25  10  34  20 /  60  60   0   0
F10   28  14  37  22 /  10  20   0   0
HHW   35  18  37  23 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT TUESDAY FOR
     OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058.

AR...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....05

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