Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 152310
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
510 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through the entire period.



&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 350 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Most areas received around a half inch or more of rain for this
week`s system. The higher amounts were across southeast Oklahoma
where 2-3" of rain fell with the lower amounts near the OK/AR
border. High pressure passes to our south overnight...with our
winds coming around to the south/southwest by tomorrow. Fire
weather will be a concern tomorrow...as winds increase in
response to low pressure system approaching the high plains. We
will not issue a fire weather watch for our area given recent
precipitation. However...the northern tier of OK counties along
the KS border will need to be monitored. Temperatures will rebound
nicely in the mid to upper 60s with minimum RH values in the
25-35 percent range.

Next upper trough moves across the area by Friday...
but it moves out faster than previous guidance. Will leave low
chances for showers in the south and east.

Temperatures are going to be quite warm beginning Thursday through
next week. The warmest day looks to be Sunday under building
upper ridge. It looks like widespread 70s are likely on Sunday
with upper 60s on Saturday. Upper low moves out slower than in
previous runs...which will delay any precipitation until late
Sunday into Monday. Looks like another good chance for rain Monday
into Tuesday...but temperatures will be mild all the while in the
60s/70s.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...23



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