Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 301535
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1035 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A few showers were noted earlier within weakening frontal zone
stretching across SE OK/NW AR, and some additional development
remains possible through this afternoon. forecast basically in
good shape, though have removed pops from the morning period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Patchy light fog nay reduce visibilities to MVFR at some sites
through about 14z. Otherwise...VFR conditions will prevail through
the forecast period. Isolated convection will be possible near the
northwest Arkansas sites today...but the chances of any individual
site being impacted are too low to include in the TAF`s.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 405 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers/thunderstorms currently east
of boundary..running from south central OK to
southwest MO. Low grade pops that area today.

Broad h500 ridge  from the southern / central
plains to the  northeastern states will be in
control for about the next week. This results
in  long stretch of generally dry weather for
our area.  Isolated showers or thunder may be
generated  over the  higher terrain southeast
OK and northwest Arkansas in daytime heat but
not enough for 20% pop.

all in all-dry with temperatures not far from
seasonal normals.                          gw

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   89  72  92  73 /  10   0   0   0
FSM   91  70  92  70 /  20  10  10  10
MLC   92  70  92  71 /  10  10   0   0
BVO   87  65  91  69 /  10   0   0   0
FYV   86  65  88  67 /  20  10  10  10
BYV   85  65  88  66 /  20  10  10  10
MKO   87  69  91  70 /  10  10  10  10
MIO   86  67  90  69 /  20  10   0   0
F10   89  69  91  70 /  10  10   0  10
HHW   94  70  94  70 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....12



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