Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 250429
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1129 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...

THE 06Z TAF DISCUSSION IS INCLUDED BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
CONDITIONS HAVE DETERIORATED FASTER THAN ANTICIPATED...WITH IFR OR
BELOW CIGS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION. NOW THAT THE RAIN HAS
ENDED AND THE MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXITING IN THE WAKE OF UPPER
WAVE...THE COOL...SATURATED BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD PROMOTE AT LEAST
IFR CONDITIONS THRU THE NIGHT. IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED BY MID
MORNING ON MONDAY. CHANCES FOR STORMS START TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH THE NEXT UPPER WAVE.

LACY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 727 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015/

DISCUSSION...
RECENTLY UPDATED ZONES REFLECT QPF AND POP ADJUSTMENTS. THE
HEAVIEST...MOST INTENSE RAINFALL HAS PUSHED TO THE EAST. RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER
HOURLY RATES WILL BE LESS. TEMPERATURES AT THIS TIME LOOK
REASONABLE WITH A SATURATED AIRMASS IN PLACE...SO THOSE ELEMENTS
WILL REMAIN AS THEY ARE. NEXT ITEM OF CONCERN COMES TOMORROW NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY AS ANOTHER WAVE LIFTING N-NE ACROSS TEXAS MAY BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVIER RAINFALL TO FAR SE OK...WC AND NW AR. AT
THIS TIME HOWEVER...THE HEAVIEST RAIN AXIS LOOKS TO BE POSITIONED
JUST EAST OF THE CWA. STAY TUNED AS AMOUNTS WILL BE REFINED WITH
LATER FORECASTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   62  81  63  81 /  10  30  40  20
FSM   63  81  64  82 /  10  50  70  30
MLC   63  78  63  81 /  10  50  50  20
BVO   58  81  60  81 /  10  20  30  20
FYV   58  78  62  78 /  10  30  70  30
BYV   60  80  63  79 /  10  20  90  30
MKO   60  79  62  81 /  10  40  50  20
MIO   60  80  62  80 /  30  30  60  20
F10   59  79  62  80 /  10  40  50  20
HHW   66  78  64  82 /  10  80  60  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...30




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