Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 222330
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
630 PM CDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Mostly clear skies with a few passing mid/high clouds along with
light winds are expected across Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest
Arkansas tonight. During the day Saturday...scattered mid clouds
and south to southeasterly winds of 5-10kt look to develop over
the majority of the region. VFR conditions should persist through
the TAF period.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 359 PM CDT Fri Sep 22 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm and humid weather will persist into Monday as we
remain under the influence of an upper ridge axis centered just to
our east. A large western U.S. upper trof will move east into the
plains early next week, helping to push a cold front east across
the area Monday night and Tuesday. Rain chances will increase as
the trof and front approach, but higher rain amounts are likely
to remain to our west and north. Much cooler temperatures will
follow the passage of the cold front, with readings likely to be a
bit below the seasonal normals later next week. Will follow the
ECMWF and its quicker clearing trend from north to south during
the middle to latter part of next week.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   71  92  71  91 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   70  93  70  92 /   0   0   0  10
MLC   69  91  69  90 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   67  92  66  91 /   0   0   0  10
FYV   64  88  64  87 /   0  10   0  10
BYV   67  89  67  88 /   0  10   0  10
MKO   69  92  69  91 /   0   0   0  10
MIO   69  90  69  89 /   0  10   0  10
F10   69  91  69  90 /   0   0   0  10
HHW   69  91  69  90 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...20


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