Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 240332
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
932 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Broad region of ongoing convection has produced 3HR rain rates of
one half to one inch along and just south of the I-44 corridor.
Zone of strongest low level upglide will gradually shift
northeastward overnight with the heaviest precip axis following
suite. Forecast has this trend well covered and update will
largely adjust for observed radar trends. Latest data continue to
support a brief lull in convection over the area early Saturday
morning before storms again spread northward across the region.
This additional rainfall has potential to produce rapid onset
flooding given the saturated conditions. An additional concern
will be the brief window of severe weather potential as wind
fields will be intense ahead of the expanding convection.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   42  57  30  63 /  80  80   0   0
FSM   52  65  36  66 / 100  90   0   0
MLC   46  64  31  66 / 100  90   0   0
BVO   38  54  25  61 /  70  70   0   0
FYV   51  61  30  61 / 100  80   0   0
BYV   49  62  31  59 / 100  80  10   0
MKO   45  61  29  64 / 100  90   0   0
MIO   43  55  27  60 / 100  70   0   0
F10   42  60  29  64 / 100  90   0   0
HHW   52  67  37  67 /  80 100  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for OKZ049-053-058-062-
     063-065>076.

AR...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for ARZ001-002-010-011-
     019-020-029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07



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