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000
FXUS64 KTSA 280131
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
831 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures have dropped off into the 60s and low 70s this
evening and will continue to drop into 50s overnight with a few
isolated lower terrain valleys seeing temperatures a few degrees
cooler than the general area. Southerly flow will briefly return
Wednesday ahead of a back door cold front that will bring another
surge of cool air into the region by early Thursday. Dry weather
will continue through the weekend.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 557 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016/

DISCUSSION...

The 00z TAF discussion is included below.

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
High pressure at the surface will maintain VFR conditions thru the
period. A back door front will bring an increase in winds
Wednesday afternoon out of the north.

Lacy

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 222 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016/

DISCUSSION...
It`s a beautiful day across Oklahoma and Arkansas, with surface
high pressure in control of the area weather, leading to mostly
sunny skies, light winds, and seasonal temperatures. Slightly
warmer temperatures will be on tap for most of the region
tomorrow, except for areas right along the Kansas and Missouri
borders, as westerly winds prevail ahead of an approaching
backdoor cold front. Another shot of below normal temperatures
will arrive behind the front to complete the latter part of the
work week, with no precipitation and very little cloud cover
likely to accompany it due to little available moisture.

Southerly low level winds will make a return by the latter part of
the weekend and into early next week, as upper level troughing
approaches from the west. Low level moisture will climb and warmer
temperatures will arrive in response, with increasing shower and
thunderstorm potential by the middle of the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   57  80  50  73 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   56  85  54  76 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   54  87  53  74 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   53  77  46  72 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   52  77  46  69 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   57  76  49  70 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   55  83  51  73 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   55  74  48  71 /   0   0   0   0
F10   55  85  52  73 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   53  87  54  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....22