Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 261623
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1123 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Mid/upper 50s surface dewpoints have made it to the Red
River...and low-level moisture will continue to increase
this afternoon ahead of the approaching dryline. Hi-res
models have been consistent in developing convection along
the dryline around 4-5 pm with activity moving into our
forecast area toward 6 pm. Initial storms will likely be
discrete supercells...and HRRR updraft helicity tracks
continue to suggest that greatest tornado/large hail threat
will be along and west of an Okemah to Hugo line. This
activity should transition to convective clusters/lines
during the evening...with a hail and damaging wind threat
continuing as storms move into western AR.

Updated products have been sent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  55  69  46 /  30  70  10   0
FSM   77  59  72  49 /  10  80  30   0
MLC   77  58  72  49 /  20  70  10   0
BVO   71  52  67  43 /  30  80  10   0
FYV   71  56  62  46 /  10  80  50   0
BYV   70  57  64  47 /  10  80  60   0
MKO   75  57  69  48 /  20  70  10   0
MIO   70  54  64  46 /  10  80  30   0
F10   75  56  71  48 /  30  70  10   0
HHW   79  60  75  52 /  10  70  10   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....23



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