Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 200321
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
921 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Widespread convection ongoing through the Southern Plains will
continue to spread slowly eastward overnight. Locally heavy
rainfall is possible given the meridional cell motion coupled with
the slow eastern progression of the convective line. Additionally
organized bowing segments have been noted with the most persistent
feature currently over south central Oklahoma. Instability
downstream of this convection will lessen however an uptick in the
low level winds fields will continue to support potential for
localized higher wind gusts as the storms progress into eastern
OK. This general scenario has been consistent in the short range
guidance this evening. The updated forecast further increased
precip chances overnight and early Monday along with increased
thunderstorm potential along and west of highway 75 through late
evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   61  72  47  76 /  90  50  10   0
FSM   60  69  52  75 /  40  90  20  10
MLC   62  70  47  76 /  90  70  10   0
BVO   58  72  40  76 /  90  40  10   0
FYV   58  67  46  72 /  40  90  20   0
BYV   56  71  49  73 /  20  90  40   0
MKO   60  68  47  74 /  90  70  10   0
MIO   60  69  46  74 /  60  80  10  10
F10   60  70  47  75 /  90  60  10   0
HHW   62  68  51  75 /  90 100  10   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07


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