086
FXUS62 KTBW 120009
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
709 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 709 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2024

Early evening IR satellite imagery is showing clear skies filling
in across the area as the cold front pushes south of the forecast
area. Behind the front, breezy northwest winds are fueling strong
cold air advection, with temperatures dropping rapidly across the
region. For tonight, temperature are on track to drop into the
mid 30s over the Nature Coast, and 40s to around 50 to the south.
With the cold temperatures and breezy conditions, a Cold Weather
Advisory is in effect for inland portions of much of west central
Florida due to wind chills dropping below 35 early Thursday
morning. Otherwise, the strong winds will also continue to produce
a high risk of rip currents along area beaches through the day on
Thursday.

The forecast remains on track for the overnight period, and no
significant changes are planned for the evening update.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 709 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2024

Skies are clearing out across the area in the wake of the cold
front that passed through today. Brief MVFR ceilings may still
impact southwest Florida TAF sites (KRSW, KFMY, and KPGD) for the
next couple of hours. Otherwise, VFR conditions will hold under
breezy northwest winds turning to north and northeasterly through
the next 24 hours.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 709 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2024

Strong northwest winds are continuing in the wake of today`s cold
front, with a Small Craft Advisory in effect through at least
early Thursday afternoon, though Advisory level winds are expected
to continue over the offshore waters into early Friday morning.
Winds will turn to northeasterly and hold through early next week,
with wind speeds surging to 15 to 20 knots at times through early
Saturday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  43  63  49  75 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  47  69  54  78 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  43  66  51  75 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  44  65  51  77 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  37  62  41  74 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  49  62  54  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

     Cold Weather Advisory from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Thursday for DeSoto-
     Hardee-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-
     Inland Sarasota-Polk.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Thursday for Charlotte
     Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita
     Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from
     Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa
     Bay waters-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL
     out 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Friday for Waters from
     Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
     Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$

Fleming