000
FXUS63 KICT 081141
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
541 AM CST SUN DEC 8 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 300 AM CST SUN DEC 8 2013

A NUMBER OF SHORTWAVES ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING CONUS AND CANADA. ONE IS
APPROACHING THE ROCKIES WITH ANOTHER OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO.
MEANWHILE...ANOTHER IMPULSE IS DIVING SOUTH OVER NORTHERN
SASKATCHEWAN. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS WITH
TROUGHING OVER THE HIGH PLAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 AM CST SUN DEC 8 2013

DEEP ISENTROPIC LIFT REMAINS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS THIS MORNING. DUE TO THE LARGE TEMP/DEW SPREADS...NOTHING
MORE THAN A FEW FLURRIES HAVE OCCURRED OVER MOST OF THE AREA WITH
THE MORE MEANINGFUL SNOWS STAYING JUST NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.
CENTRAL KANSAS WILL STILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO PICK UP A
DUSTING TO POSSIBLY A COUPLE TENTHS THIS MORNING AND BY THE AFTERNOON
HOURS THE BULK OF THE LIFT WILL BE NORTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA.
ONCE AGAIN HIGHS TODAY WILL BE AROUND 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

DID GO AHEAD AND INSERT SOME SMALL SNOW CHANCES OVER FAR SOUTHERN
KS FOR MON AS BOTH THE NAM AND GFS TRACK A FAST MOVING IMPULSE
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO THE PLAINS BY MON AFTERNOON.
SOUTHERN KS WILL ALSO BE UNDER THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER
JET WHICH MAY HELP THE LIGHT SNOW CHANCES. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL
TRACK OUT OF SOUTHERN CANADA AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS MON
WHICH WILL HELP REINFORCE THE COLD AIR.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 AM CST SUN DEC 8 2013

THE MAIN THEME THROUGH THESE EXTENDED PERIODS WILL BE FOR
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO A MORE ZONAL
PATTERN. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT WE ARE NOT LOOKING AT ANY
SIGNIFICANT WINTER EVENTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE GOOD NEWS IS
THAT WE WILL FINALLY START TO SEE TEMPS APPROACH SEASONAL NORMALS
BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.

LAWSON

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 536 AM CST SUN DEC 8 2013

POOR AVIATION CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA THIS
MORNING...WITH LIGHT SNOW OVER CENTRAL KANSAS AND FREEZING DRIZZLE
MAKING CONDITIONS SLICK AND ICY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
KANSAS. THE LIGHT FROZEN PRECIP WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FROM WEST
TO EAST THIS MORNING...WITH IT LINGER THE LONGEST OVER SOUTHEAST
KANSAS KANSAS. MEANWHILE THE LOW CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE BLANKET THE
REGION WITH A COLD FRONT CAUSING THE WINDS TO SWITCH AROUND TO THE
NORTHWEST LATER IN THE DAY.

JAKUB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    27  12  23  14 /  30  10  10  10
HUTCHINSON      26  10  21  10 /  40  10  10  10
NEWTON          26  11  21  12 /  40  10  10  10
ELDORADO        27  13  22  14 /  30  10  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   28  14  26  15 /  20  10  20  20
RUSSELL         20   3  21   7 /  60  10   0   0
GREAT BEND      21   7  19   9 /  50  10   0   0
SALINA          25   9  23   9 /  60  10   0   0
MCPHERSON       26  10  21  10 /  40  10  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     31  17  28  16 /  20  10  20  20
CHANUTE         30  15  25  16 /  30  10  10  20
IOLA            30  15  24  17 /  30  10  10  10
PARSONS-KPPF    31  17  26  15 /  30  10  10  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR KSZ051-052-
067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

$$