000
FXUS63 KICT 090918
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
318 AM CST MON DEC 9 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 312 AM CST MON DEC 9 2013

A UPPER LEVEL WAVE CURRENTLY NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL
RACE EASTWARD TODAY ACROSS KANSAS. MODEST ISENTROPIC LIFT AHEAD OF
THIS UPPER WAVE WILL BE CONCENTRATED ALONG A MID-LEVEL BAROCLINIC
ZONE...WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN AN ELONGATED BAND OF SNOW ACROSS
SOUTHERN KANSAS/NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. EXPECTED SNOW FALL AMOUNTS OF A
TRACE TO TWO INCHES WILL MAINLY AFFECT LOCATIONS SOUTH OF A
WELLINGTON TO HOWARD...TO CHANUTE LINE. ONE CONCERN IS THE LIFT
WITH-IN A FAIRLY DEEP DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH ZONE POSSIBLY YIELDING
HIGHER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...THEREFORE WE WILL HOIST A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS. OTHERWISE THE STAR
SHOULD SHINE BRIGHTLY ON TUESDAY WITH DAYTIME HIGHS ACTUALLY GOING
ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK SINCE DEC 4TH. ANOTHER PV WAVE WILL RACE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW REGIME AND PUSH A COLD
FRONT INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A RE-ENFORCING
SHOT OF COLD AIR FOR KANSAS.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 312 AM CST MON DEC 9 2013

MODELS ARE SHOWING NEXT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO THE REGION
FOR FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM
OF RAIN OR SNOW POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE TIME OF THE DAY THE UPPER
WAVE MOVES INTO KANSAS. OTHERWISE DRY AND QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS
TO FOLLOW FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

JAKUB

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CST SUN DEC 8 2013

MVFR CIGS CONTINUE TO CLEAR OUT STEADILY FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND ARE EXPECTED TO DO SO ACROSS SOUTHEAST
KANSAS LATER TONIGHT. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON MONDAY WITH AN AREA OF LIGHT SNOW AFFECTING
FAR SOUTHERN KANSAS. WHILE VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
FOR THE TERMINALS AT KCNU AND KICT...A PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS AND
VSBYS MAY AFFECT LOCATIONS CLOSER TO THE OKLAHOMA BORDER REGION OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. OTHERWISE HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE WILL DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA DURING MONDAY WITH WINDS
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE BEFORE BECOMING SOUTHWEST ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS LATE IN THE DAY.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    21   9  37  15 /  20  10   0   0
HUTCHINSON      19   8  36  15 /  10  10   0   0
NEWTON          20   9  36  15 /  10  10   0   0
ELDORADO        21  10  36  15 /  20  10   0   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   23  10  36  14 /  40  20   0   0
RUSSELL         22   6  36  13 /  10  10   0   0
GREAT BEND      21   6  36  14 /  10  10   0   0
SALINA          21   7  35  13 /  10  10   0   0
MCPHERSON       19   8  35  14 /  10  10   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     24  11  35  13 /  70  70   0   0
CHANUTE         23  10  34  14 /  30  30   0   0
IOLA            22  10  34  15 /  20  20   0   0
PARSONS-KPPF    24  11  34  13 /  60  60   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT
FOR KSZ098>100.

&&

$$