Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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354
FXUS63 KABR 242329 AAA
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
629 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 625 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

See updated aviation discussion below.

&&


.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 301 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

An area of low pressure, currently over the tri-state area of
ND/SD/MN will continue pushing east of the region. Weak CAA, along
with dry northerly flow will filter into the CWA tonight through
Tuesday morning. Another low pressure system, along with a weak
upper level short wave, will approach the region from the west late
tonight. This system will spread light pcpn into the far western
portion of the CWA around 12Z. The P-type maybe a mixture of rain
and snow with snow more likely further west. Snowfall amounts
between a dusting and one inch will be possible. This storm system
wanes over western South Dakota as a stronger area of low pressure
crosses Nebraska on Tuesday. This system will spread additional pcpn
into the southern and eastern half of the CWA. Temperatures appear
to be warm enough to support all rain Tuesday afternoon.


.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Evening through Monday)
Issued at 301 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The extended pattern remains cool and unsettled with upper troughing
dominating. Shortwave activity traversing the upper trough will
bring periodic chances for showers. The broad trough will draw down
cooler air so highs 10 to 20 degrees below average are expected
through the weekend. With overnight lows in the 20s and 30s, some of
the showers could fall as snow or a mix of snow and rain. Little
accumulation is expected due to the warmer ground temps and daytime
heating causing quick melting.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday Evening)
Issued at 625 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

An area of MVFR cigs currently over the northwestern and north
central CWA will gradually overspread the entire CWA during the
overnight hours. Precipitation will begin to affect the region
Tuesday morning, bringing periods of IFR cigs and MVFR vsbys
through the end of the TAF period. Northerly winds will remain
breezy as well, generally in the 15 to 25 knot range through the
period.

&&


.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SD
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Parkin



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