Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 301729

1229 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2015

Issued at 307 AM CDT WED SEP 30 2015

Persistent easterly to northeasterly flow and cool advection aloft
will lead to much of the forecast being below normal for this time
of year. Through the weekend, high temperatures look to generally be
in the 60s with some southern zones seeing lower 70 degree values
today. Lows look chilly with temperatures falling into the 40s at
times through the weekend. By next week, southerly flow looks to
return and temperatures will rebound back closer to seasonal values
with highs in the low to mid 70s.

Precipitation chances over the next week look very low and are
mainly confined to next week. But Saturday and Saturday night, there
remains a small chance for showers over eastern Kansas and adjacent
areas of Missouri. These chances have been decreasing over the last
few model runs as the upper low responsible for the chances lingers
over the Intermountain West. The next decent chance for rainfall
will occur late in the forecast. As the upper ridge shifts to the
east, it allows for the western trough to lift into the Plains. Flow
ahead of this trough will have turned southerly with some moisture
advection back into the region. As a result, the chance PoPs the
initialization produces appear reasonable for Tuesday into Wednesday.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2015

VFR conditions will persist through the TAF period. Skies will
remain mainly clear, and northeast winds will be sustained at
around 10 kts this afternoon, decreasing to around 5 kts tonight.




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