Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 220548
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1248 AM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

.AVIATION...06Z TAFS...
VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours with winds in
the 10-15kt range. Scattered to broken mid level clouds expected
to develop after 18z and persist through 06z. All TAF sites can
expect VCSH with a 30 percent chance of -TSRA. 6 hour PROB30
groups have been added as early as 21z to as late as 06z, at each
TAF site to account for the storm potential. While confidence is
not high, MVFR conditions will be possible if storms move over the
TAF sites. However, storms should be slow moving in nature and
isolated to scattered across the Panhandles. So, they could be hit
and miss showers. Due to the storms being slow moving, if one
would move over a TAF site, expect moderate to heavy rain to
accompany.

Weber

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 253 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Overall not much to speak of high impact weather-wise in the near
term. Several chances for showers/thunderstorms but widespread
severe weather does not look likely in the near term. Most
noteworthy items include warm temperatures in the 90s approaching
100-103 degrees in some areas, as well as the potential for
localized moderate to perhaps heavy rainfall this weekend into
parts of next week.

Upper level pattern shows high pressure dominating much of the
southwestern CONUS. High pressure begins to slide east and sit over
us come early next week. Pattern really isn`t favorable for severe
weather with weak forcing and weak instability. Any storms that form
this weekend will be slow movers, and given the high precipitable
water values there could be some appreciable rainfall amounts. That
being said, outside of a few thunderstorms, there doesn`t appear to
the any widespread severe weather in the upcoming days.

Guerrero

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                68  92  67  90  68 /  20  40  50  30  10
Beaver OK                  71  96  69  94  70 /  20  30  40  30  30
Boise City OK              63  86  63  90  65 /  40  40  40  20  10
Borger TX                  73  96  70  94  72 /  20  40  50  30  20
Boys Ranch TX              67  93  68  93  69 /  20  50  50  30  10
Canyon TX                  67  91  67  90  68 /  20  50  50  30  10
Clarendon TX               69  94  69  93  70 /  10  30  40  30  20
Dalhart TX                 66  91  64  91  66 /  30  50  50  30  10
Guymon OK                  67  93  66  94  69 /  20  40  40  30  20
Hereford TX                69  92  66  90  67 /  20  50  50  30  10
Lipscomb TX                71  97  70  94  71 /  20  40  50  40  20
Pampa TX                   70  95  68  92  70 /  20  40  50  40  20
Shamrock TX                70  97  71  95  72 /  10  30  40  40  20
Wellington TX              71  98  72  96  72 /  10  30  40  30  20

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

89/24



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