Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 231731
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1131 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HAVE SOME MINOR CONCERN FOR FOG TONIGHT DUE TO TODAY/S SNOWMELT...BUT
THINK NORTHWEST BREEZES OVERNIGHT ALONG WITH SOME INCREASE IN
MID TO HIGH CLOUDS WILL MITIGATE THIS POTENTIAL. WINDS WILL REMAIN
OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST AT SPEEDS LESS THAN 15 KTS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

KB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 500 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

DISCUSSION...
RATHER TRANQUIL WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE OK AND TX PNHDLS DURG
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. UNDERCUT MOS TEMPS FOR THE FIRST 2 TO 3 DAYS IN
AREAS WHERE DEEP SNOW COVER REMAINS. OTHERWISE...A RETURN TO DRY
WEATHER ALONG WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES IS IN STORE BEGINNING
TODAY AND CONTINUING INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ADVANCES EWD AND AFFECTS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SUGGEST THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL LIKELY
IMPACT THE FCST AREA LATE NEXT WEEK WILL BE ORIGINATING IN THE SRN
STREAM AND AT LOWER LATITUDES COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS STORM SYSTEM.
MODELS EXHIBIT DIFFERENCES IN TIMING SO DECIDED TO USE A COMPROMISE.
HAVE INSERTED SLGT CHC POPS FOR RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE SRN TX PNHDL
NEXT THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY FOR STARTERS. A COLD FRONT IS SLATED
TO MOVE THRU THE AREA AROUND NEXT THURSDAY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES
ANTICIPATED ON THAT DAY.

ANDRADE

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

08/20




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