Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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558
FXUS64 KAMA 160416 AAB
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1016 PM CST Wed Nov 15 2017

.AVIATION...
Southerly winds will increase into the 15 to 20 knot range with
higher gusts by mid to late morning. The winds will then decrease
with sunset to less than 15 knots. Skies are expected to remain
VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 505 PM CST Wed Nov 15 2017/

AVIATION...
Light southeast to south winds overnight will increase into the 15
to 20 knot range with higher gusts by mid to late morning on
Thursday. Skies are expected to remain VFR.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued Issued by National Weather Service ALBUQUERQUE NM/

DISCUSSION...
Temperatures have been up to 20 degrees cooler today in the wake
of cold front overnight. Temperatures will rebound quickly on
Thursday with zonal flow aloft and a surface low developing across
CO/NM. Breezy south to southwesterly winds will be the rule with
temperatures rising back above normal.

Temperatures will ramp up further on Friday as westerly winds
return. Strong downsloping will allow temperatures to climb into
the upper 70s to mid 80s area wide, nearly 20 degrees above
climatological norms. A strong surface pressure gradient is also
expected, thus the westerly winds should gusts upwards of 45 mph
particularly across the western panhandles. Winds will peak mid
afternoon, but should quickly diminish with sunset with the loss
of daytime heating/mixing.

An upper level trough will cross the Rockies into the plains
Friday night, sending a cold front southward through the area
Friday night. Temperatures will drop considerably for Saturday,
though even with a 20-25 degree drop, high temperatures will only
be a few degrees below normal. Accompanying the front will be
strong winds, and gusts near 40-45 mph will not be out of the
question.

With dry conditions and winds calming, Sunday morning is expected
to be quite cold with lows right around the freezing mark. A
warming trend is expected for early next week.

FIRE WEATHER...
Precipitation still looks to be lacking for the next several days.
Rather, strong winds and low humidities will be a concern over the
next few days. On Thursday, southwesterly winds across far
northwest Texas and the western Oklahoma Panhandle will return and
humidities will fall below 20 percent for elevated fire weather
conditions. These conditions will become more widespread on Friday
as strong westerly winds return area wide and strong downsloping
allows temps to rise and humidities to fall. Winds are expected to
be sustained around 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 or 45 mph, with
the strongest winds in the western Texas Panhandle. Localized
critical conditions will be possible. There will be some cirrus
that moves overhead which could limit mixing somewhat, depending
on its thickness.

A strong cold front arrives Friday night which will cool
temperatures and raise humidities, thereby mitigating fire weather
concerns.

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

15/11



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