Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 061723
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1123 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.AVIATION... /FOR THE 18Z TAFS/
WINDS WILL APPROACH 10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND
THEN BACK SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. A
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN A WIND SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY LATER
TONIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

BRB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 331 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

DISCUSSION...
AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN STATES
THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY...A DRY NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND ROCKIES BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK. DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND COOL SURFACE
RIDGE BUILDS SOUTHEAST INTO THE PANHANDLES MONDAY...ANOTHER COLD
FRONT IS FORECAST TO DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY LATE
WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT NEXT FRIDAY.
SEASONABLE OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD.

SCHNEIDER

FIRE WEATHER...
A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP TODAY ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES WEST
OF THE FORECAST AREA. DESPITE THE WARMER DOWNSLOPING WEST AND
SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS EXPECTED TODAY...SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO
REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT. ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE DUE TO THE LIGHTER EXPECTED 20 FOOT
WIND SPEEDS. IF SPEEDS INCREASE TO 15 MPH OR GREATER TODAY...ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AND A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
WOULD BE NEEDED BY THE FOLLOWING SHIFT. DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK AND INTO NEXT SATURDAY. IF MINIMUM
AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES SHOULD FALL TO 20 PERCENT OR LESS AND IF 20 FOOT
WIND SPEEDS INCREASE TO 15 MPH OR HIGHER...ELEVATED OR EVEN CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

17/18


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