Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 250337
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1037 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
UPPER TROUGH TO REMAIN WEST OF THE PANHANDLES THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY.
DRYLINE EXPECTED TO LINGER ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THROUGH MONDAY. MID
LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
WILL RESULT IN BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...HOWEVER THE WINDS AT THE GUYMON
TAF SITE SHOULD DIMINISH BY 06Z MONDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
AT ALL THREE TAF SITES THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY...HOWEVER SOME IFR OR MVFR
CEILINGS COULD POSSIBLY AFFECT THE AMARILLO TAF SITE AFTER 02Z TO 04Z
TUESDAY. SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO
AROUND 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS AFTER 16Z TO 19Z
MONDAY...AND THEN BACK AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST AFTER 01Z TO
04Z TUESDAY 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 612 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015/

AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...ISOLD TSTMS MAY DEVELOP JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE IN THE
TX AND OK PNHDLS THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE EXPECTED ISOLD
NATURE SHOULD ANY STORMS DEVELOP THIS EVENING...HAVE DECIDED TO OMIT
MENTION OF THIS WEATHER ELEMENT FOR THIS TAF CYCLE. ISOLD TSTMS MAY
ALSO FORM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AND WILL ALSO LEAVE OUT OF THIS
FCST FOR THE SAME REASON MENTIONED ABOVE. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
ARE ANTICIPATED AT ALL TERMINAL SITES THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

ANDRADE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 413 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015/

DISCUSSION...
DRYLINE HAS EDGED INTO THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND
IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED NEAR A LINE FROM KENTON TO HEREFORD.  DEEP
AND RICH MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE EAST OF THE DRYLINE...WITH
INSTABILITY MAXIMIZED ALONG A NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST CORRIDOR FROM
SOUTHWEST KANSAS TO THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE.  EXPECT ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...WITH UPPER SUPPORT FROM SHORTWAVE TROF
CURRENTLY OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  ENOUGH SHEAR EXISTS FOR
ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...WITH LARGE HAIL EXPECTED TO BE
THE PRIMARY THREAT.

NO CHANGES OF SIGNIFICANCE HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE EARLIER FORECAST.  NO
POPS ABOVE 20 PERCENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  HIGHER POPS KEPT FOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS NEXT LONGWAVE TROF SETS UP
OVER WESTERN CONUS AND THEN TRAVERSES PANHANDLES.

COCKRELL

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

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