Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 121023
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
523 AM CDT Sat Aug 12 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The overall wet weather pattern will continue through Tuesday as
broad westerly flow persists, which is a favorable steering flow
this time of year for bringing storms eastward into the OK and TX
Panhandles from ern NM and sern CO. Short and medium range models
are in reasonably good agreement with the overall upper level
pattern for the next several days and were accepted.

For today, a large area of showers and tstms will continue moving
east across the fcst area this morning, and went with high pops
along with areal qualifier wording to account for this. This large
shield of preciptation should be east of the fcst area by this
afternoon, and have lowered pops to the chc category durg that
time frame. Highs today should be below normal for mid August due
to clouds and morning precipitation.

The next crop of showers and thunderstorms is expected to develop
over the higher terrain of ern NM and sern CO late this afternoon,
then track east and affect the fcst area through the evening and
nighttime hours. As a result, have incorporated mid to high
chance pops for tonight. Similar repeat scenarios are slated for
Sunday through Tuesday, albeit with a trend towards less coverage
each day. Medium range models suggest a drier pattern for Wednesday
through Friday, and decided to utilize non-mentionable pops for
this particular time frame.

Andrade

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                79  64  83  64  87 /  70  50  30  50  30
Beaver OK                  76  63  83  64  88 /  80  50  20  50  30
Boise City OK              77  62  82  62  85 /  50  40  30  50  30
Borger TX                  78  66  85  67  89 /  70  50  30  50  30
Boys Ranch TX              81  63  86  63  89 /  60  40  30  50  30
Canyon TX                  80  64  84  64  87 /  60  50  30  50  30
Clarendon TX               78  66  85  67  89 /  60  50  20  50  30
Dalhart TX                 78  63  84  63  87 /  60  40  30  50  30
Guymon OK                  77  63  82  65  88 /  70  40  20  50  30
Hereford TX                81  64  86  64  87 /  60  40  30  50  30
Lipscomb TX                75  63  83  65  89 /  80  50  20  50  30
Pampa TX                   77  65  84  66  88 /  70  50  20  50  30
Shamrock TX                77  66  86  68  90 /  60  50  20  50  30
Wellington TX              79  68  87  69  91 /  60  50  20  50  30

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$



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