Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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070
FXUS64 KAMA 221941
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
241 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Have gone a little on the low side of guidance for tonight`s lows.
Light winds and dry air should allow for temperatures to fall
fairly quickly.

Upper level disturbance over the Pacific Northwest has a 140 knot
jet associated with it. This upper level disturbance is expected to
dive southeast into the northern plains and Midwest by Monday night.
Have gone with the stronger winds and cooler temperatures from the
MET guidance as the Panhandles will be placed in the right front
quad of the upper jet.  Plus the upper level disturbance intensifies
into a closed low, so this will help to bring colder air southward
into the area.

Speaking of colder air, another strong short wave trough is expected
to swing southeastward out of Canada and into the central U.S. by late
in the week which will open the door for much colder air to move
into the area. Some light wintry precipitation may be found behind
the cold front Thursday night into Friday, mainly across the
western Panhandles.

Temperatures will then slowly rebound toward the end of next
weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                43  71  40  62  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  40  68  37  62  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              44  65  36  62  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  48  69  44  62  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              39  71  37  63  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  41  73  39  64  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               45  74  42  65  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 41  67  39  64  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  43  67  38  62  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                40  72  39  63  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                43  68  41  62  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   42  68  42  58  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                44  73  44  64  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              44  76  44  67  40 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

24/15



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