Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 281143
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
643 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION... /FOR THE 12Z TAF/
THUNDERSTORM JUST EAST OF KAMA WILL MOVE EAST OUT OF THE VICINITY BY
AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER 12Z. ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS COULD IMPACT
THE TERMINAL THROUGH THE MORNING. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL RESULT CAUSE
WINDS TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN FROM THE NORTH BUT STILL REMAIN
GENERALLY UNDER 12 KNOTS. THESE WINDS SHOULD BECOME MORE EASTERLY
LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. IF ANY OF THE THREE TERMINALS ARE
IMPACTED BY CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON IT WOULD MOST LIKELY BE KAMA.
PROBABILITIES ARE TOO LOW FOR INCLUSION AT THIS TIME.

BRB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DRAG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT MAY TRY TO
STALL ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON. WILL KEEP
THE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE CLOSEST TO THIS
FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ANOTHER LOBE OF VORTICITY WILL
SWING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE PANHANDLES OVERNIGHT...SO MAY LINGER SOME
RAIN PAST MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTH.

THE WEATHER SHOULD THEN TURN DRY FOR THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL THEN STRETCH FROM SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES FOR NEXT WEEK. MEANWHILE...AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THIS RIDGE AXIS.
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY SPILL INTO THE PANHANDLES AT TIMES
NEXT WEEK. THIS MOISTURE COUPLED WITH ANY SHEAR AXIS BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND THE LOW MAY CAUSE PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THIS FORECAST.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

17/11


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