Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46

FXUS64 KAMA 160440

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1040 PM CST Thu Feb 15 2018

VFR conditions are expected throughout the 06Z TAF period. The
cold front has already moved south of KGUY/KDHT with northerly
winds of 20-25 kts. The front should be approaching KAMA within the
next hour before 06Z Friday. Mainly mid to high ovc skies will
remain throughout the day tomorrow behind the front with some
clearing before the end of the TAF period. Winds will also
diminish from the north and become more easterly after 18Z Friday
to around 00Z Saturday of 5-10 kts. Toward the very end of the TAF
period, winds will then shift back to southerly around 10 kts.
with scattered high clouds.



PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 220 PM CST Thu Feb 15 2018/

A cold front which lies from southeast Colorado into eastern
Wisconsin will continue to push south. This front will be well to
the south of the Texas Panhandle by sunrise. North winds at 20 to 30
mph with higher gusts will be found behind this front for a few

Highs on Friday will be back down below normal behind this front.

A slug of rain over southeastern Arizona and southern New Mexico
this afternoon will get wrung out over the southern Rockies so we
can just expect high clouds.

However, an upper level short wave trough will move northeast in the
southern jet stream and it is expected to bring precipitation mainly
to the south of the Texas Panhandle on Friday night. There is an
outside chance that some of this rain could move into the extreme
southern Texas Panhandle so have continued with some 20 and 30
percent pops mainly to the south of interstate 40.

High temperatures warm back above normal for Saturday as more
sunshine returns.

Downslope southwest winds return for Sunday and Monday ahead of
another upper level trough digging into the Great Basin. Again, this
system will most likely not bring us rain as it passes to our north
on Tuesday. A cold front will drop south across the Panhandles in
association with this system, so temperatures are expected to be
below normal for Tuesday and Wednesday.

Sunday and Monday will likely be elevated fire weather days.
However, they could certainly end up being critical days if the
moisture does not return, especially in the western Panhandles.


.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



29/11 is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.