Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 122310 AAA
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
610 PM CDT Thu Oct 12 2017

.AVIATION...
South to southwest winds should prevail overnight at 10 to 15
knots. A cold front will move across the GUY and DHT TAF sites switching
the wind around to the north. Winds are then expected to move
around to the southwest again at DHT as the front dissipates.
Winds should remain southwest through the day at AMA. Skies are
expected to remain VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 302 PM CDT Thu Oct 12 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Latest 12Z models continue to suggest precipitation threat for
Friday night and Saturday will be restricted to mainly far
northeast zones, much as previous fcst had. Have decided to retain
slgt chc pops in that area for Friday night and Saturday. A cold
front will begin moving into the northern zones Saturday
afternoon, then across rest of the fcst area Saturday evening,
with much drier air invading from the northwest after frontal
passage. Slgt chc to chc pops mainly eastern third of the OK and
TX Panhandles were incorporated into the grids for Saturday night.
Increased wind speeds behind the cold front Saturday afternoon
and Saturday night based on strength of surface high pressure
building in to the region during that time frame. No pops after
Saturday night as dry northwest to westerly flow aloft is fcst to
prevail for next week. Short and medium range models are in
general agreement with the overall pattern and were accepted.

Andrade

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

15/7



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