Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 290444

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1044 PM CST Mon Nov 28 2016

For the 06z TAFs...
No big changes from forecast of six hours ago.  Wind shift with weak
cold front is about to move into northern terminals at this time.
Expect frontal passage at KAMA around 09z Tuesday.  VFR conditions
expected to continue:  No overnight visibility restrictions
foreseen.  No clouds other than at mid- and high-levels.  Northerly
surface winds expected to gust to around 25 kt on Tuesday,
particularly during the afternoon.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 527 PM CST Mon Nov 28 2016/

For the 00z TAFs...VFR conditions expected next 24 hours with only
mid- and high-level clouds expected. Southwest and west surface
winds will shift to northwest with the passage of a cold front late
this evening and tonight.  Have called for frontal passage at 04z,
06z, and 09z at KGUY, KDHT and KAMA respectively.  Surface winds
expected to remain mostly below 15 kt this evening though early
Tuesday morning.  North surface wind continues through the day on
Tuesday with some gusts around 25 kt mainly during the afternoon.


PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 251 PM CST Mon Nov 28 2016/

One upper trough will push across the Panhandles tonight and another
will move across the forecast area by late Tuesday and Tuesday night.
A cold front will move through the Panhandles late tonight and early
Tuesday with dry conditions continuing through at least the middle of
the week. Long wave upper trough will track east across the Rockies
by late Friday into Saturday and cold front pushes into the forecast
area Thursday and then exiting the Panhandles by Thursday evening.
Low level moisture will advect north and west the long way up the Rio
Grande Friday...spreading into the Panhandles by Friday night.

Initially...rain showers will move north into the Texas Panhandle
Friday but then strong cold air advection by Friday night will allow
the precipitation to change over to snow across most of the forecast
area Friday. A mix of rain and snow possible mainly over the
southeast Texas Panhandle Friday night where near freezing min temps
expected. Due to the progressive nature of the upper
trough...precipitation should quickly end from west to east across
the Panhandles by late Saturday. Snow may linger into Saturday
morning before changing over to rain or rain and snow mix Saturday
afternoon or ending completely. Drier and moderating temps Sunday
through early next week.



.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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