Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KAMA 272350
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
550 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

.AVIATION...
For the 00z TAFs...southwest surface winds will prevail for the
next 24 hours, with some evening gustiness continuing for the next
few hours.  Big story continues to be very strong surface winds
on Tuesday, with gusts in the 45 to 55 kt range expected to begin
around 14z or 15z.  Expect an aviation weather warning to be
issued early Tuesday morning for Amarillo area airports for these
winds.  Generally clear sky expected tonight followed by varying
amounts of mid-level clouds expected during the day on Tuesday.
Barring any visibility reductions in blowing dust, VFR conditions
expected next 24 hours.  Strong cold front will arrive late in
the forecast causing surface winds to shift to north at GUY.

Cockrell

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 218 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Upper level trough stretches from Idaho into Southern California
this afternoon. This trough is expected to swing east overnight
tonight and will be emerging onto the high plains by late Tuesday
afternoon. As height falls spread across the rockies, a lee-side
surface low will intensify over southeast Colorado tonight and
then this surface low will track east very near the Kansas and
Oklahoma state lines. This intense low coupled with the strong
winds aloft associated with the upper trough should bring strong
winds especially to the western and southern Texas Panhandle where
a High Wind Watch has been issued. Southwest winds of 30 to 40
mph with gusts to around 60 mph will be possible within the watch
area. Elsewhere, winds will be up in the 25 to 35 mph range with
higher gusts. The winds will slowly come down during the evening
hours. However, winds may stay up in the 20 to 30 mph range behind
a cold front that will sweep south behind the upper trough. A few
rain showers would not be out of the question, mainly across the
Oklahoma Panhandle in association with the cold front. Any showers
are expected to remain light at this time.

The upper level trough will exit the region by Wednesday and the
winds are expected to decrease.  The flow aloft will remain
generally zonal through the rest of the forecast with any cold
winter-like temperatures remaining well to our north.

FIRE WEATHER...
A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Tuesday. 20 foot winds will
be well above 20 mph and relative humidity values will fall to
around 15 percent or less, especially across the southeast half of
the Texas Panhandle. Elevated fire weather conditions may return
to parts of the panhandles Friday and Saturday as winds start to
increase again.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                47  72  30  53  29 /   0   5  10   0   0
Beaver OK                  48  73  30  56  26 /   0  20  20   0   0
Boise City OK              42  64  24  51  25 /   0  20  20   0   0
Borger TX                  49  73  32  54  31 /   0  10   5   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              47  71  29  54  28 /   0  10  10   0   0
Canyon TX                  46  73  29  53  28 /   0   5  10   0   0
Clarendon TX               49  77  34  56  31 /   0   5   5   0   0
Dalhart TX                 43  68  25  51  25 /   0  10   5   0   0
Guymon OK                  45  70  28  52  27 /   0  20  20   0   0
Hereford TX                45  71  28  53  27 /   0   5  10   0   0
Lipscomb TX                47  77  32  53  28 /   0  10   5   0   0
Pampa TX                   48  71  30  50  29 /   0   5  10   0   0
Shamrock TX                48  78  36  57  31 /   0   0   5   0   0
Wellington TX              48  80  38  60  32 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CST Tuesday for the
     following zones: Armstrong...Carson...Collingsworth...
     Dallam...Deaf Smith...Donley...Gray...Hansford...Hartley...
     Hemphill...Hutchinson...Lipscomb...Moore...Ochiltree...
     Oldham...Potter...Randall...Roberts...Sherman...Wheeler.

     Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CST this evening for the following
     zones: Dallam...Deaf Smith...Hartley...Moore...Oldham...
     Potter...Randall...Sherman.

     High Wind Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for
     the following zones: Armstrong...Carson...Collingsworth...
     Dallam...Deaf Smith...Donley...Gray...Hartley...Moore...
     Oldham...Potter...Randall...Wheeler.

OK...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CST Tuesday for the
     following zones: Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.

     Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CST this evening for the following
     zones: Cimarron...Texas.


&&

$$

03/14


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.