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000
FXUS64 KHGX 080334
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
934 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2014

.DISCUSSION...
NOT A LOT OF CHANGES WITH THE GRIDS FOR THE UPDATE BUT AM KEEPING
A CLOSE EYE ON THE MOISTURE/CLOUDS/EMBEDDED LIFT APPROACHING FROM
THE SW (VIA THE SUB TROPICAL JET). THE FIRST ROUND CURRENTLY MOV-
ING ACROSS THE CWA BUT NO REPORTS OF PCPN FROM OBS. IT SEEMS LIKE
THE VERY DRY AIRMASS OVER THE REGION WILL NEED A BIT MORE TIME TO
MOISTEN UP. CURRENT FCST HAS POPS STARTING AROUND SUNRISE...WHICH
SEEMS REASONABLE ATTM GIVEN THE CURRENT PATTERN. 41

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 732 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2014/

AVIATION...
S/W NEARING BIG BEND REGION AT 00Z IS LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN
HIGH CLOUDINESS THAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO THICKEN OVERNIGHT.
SCATTERED SC NEAR THE COAST AND THICKER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
EXPANDING INLAND IN WAA PATTERN. COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE
PANHANDLE AND SHOULD BE MOVING INTO THE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF SETX
LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON/EVENING. LL CONTINUE TO MOISTEN OVERNIGHT
WITH ONLY SLIGHT WARMING SO EXPECTING MVFR CIGS TO DEVELOP AND
GRADUALLY LOWER OVERNIGHT...IFR POSSIBLE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
VISBY RESTRICTIONS WITH SMALL T/TD SPREADS AND WAA MAY FLUCTUATE
BETWEEN 3 AND 6 MILES AT MOST SITES. SHALLOW LIFT SHOULD HELP TO
DEVELOP PATCHY LIGHT DRIZZLE AND ORDINARY RAIN DURING MAINLY THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. AS THE FRONT NEARS CLL 21Z OR SO SOME SHALLOW
SHOWERS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT. THE
REGION LOOKS TO STAY CAPPED SO NOT EXPECTING ANY TSRA. WINDS
BECOME N OR NW POST FRONTAL AND LITTLE IF ANY DRYING IS EXPECT
WITH THE EXPANSIVE ENTRANCE REGION THAT BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER
THE REGION SO EXPECT THE RAIN TO CONTINUE WITH IFR OR LOW END MVFR
CIGS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY MORNING. THUNDERSTORM THREAT
INCREASES AFTER 06Z SUNDAY BUT JUST ORDINARY GARDEN VARIETY TSRA.
SOME SEA FOG MAY BE POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND INCREASING
GOING INTO MONDAY WITH A SATURATED EASTERLY FETCH. 45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      52  66  42  55  44 /  10  50  50  30  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              52  68  48  56  47 /  10  30  50  40  30
GALVESTON (GLS)            55  65  52  58  52 /  10  20  50  50  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$