Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 310326
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1026 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR APPEARS TO CLEARED OUT FOR THE EVENING...BUT MODELS AND SAT-
ELLITE LOOPS STILL INDICATING THAT WE COULD SEE PCPN REDEVELOPING
FROM THE SW OVERNIGHT/TOWARD SUNRISE AS ANOTHER SURGE OF MOISTURE
(AND DISTURBANCE) MOVES INTO THE REGION. DID NOT MAKE ANY SIGNIFI-
CANT CHANGES TO THE GOING FCST GOING FORWARD WITH THIS UPDATE. 41

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 807 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014/

AVIATION...
STORMS WANING QUICKLY WITH ONE W OF CXO AND A LARGE AREA OF
SHRA/TSRA WELL OFFSHORE 60-100NM. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING A
TROPICAL TAP FROM DEEP IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ACROSS THE NW GULF
AND UP INTO LOUISIANA. THIS PLUME OF MOISTURE SHOULD LIFT NORTH
TOWARD MORNING AND TRAVERSE SETX BRINGING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HAVE UPPED THE COVERAGE IN THE AREA TAFS WITH TEMPO
CONDITIONS AND VCSH/VCTS STARTING AROUND 10Z NEAR THE COAST AND
SPREADING INLAND THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. FAIRLY CONFIDENT THAT MOST
SITES FROM CXO SOUTHWARD WILL EXPERIENCE AT LEAST SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY TSRA. LATE AFTERNOON IS MORE DIFFICULT AS MOISTURE LEVELS
DECREASE AND INSTABILITY BECOMES A QUESTION DUE TO GETTING WORKED
OVER IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. WILL STILL CARRY
VCSH/VCTS THOUGH FOR LATE AFTERNOON WELL INLAND.

SOME PATCHY FOG AND MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE AFTER 08Z MAINLY FOR
CXO/LBX.

45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      74  94  77  95  76 /  20  20  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              76  91  78  94  77 /  50  50  10  30  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            79  88  82  90  82 /  60  60  10  30  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$


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