Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 262057
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
257 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY TODAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR
THANKS TO LOW PWAT AIR IN PLACE (~0.4" ACCORDING TO GPS MET SITE).
A SURFACE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO WORK ITS WAY SOUTH THIS
AFTERNOON WITH IT BEING LOCATED RIGHT AROUND WACO, TX AS OF 2 PM.
THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING.
THANKSGIVING LOOKS ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS FOR THE AREA WITH
TEMPERATURES A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

ON FRIDAY ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TO THE AREA ALLOWING THE WARM
UP TO BEGIN ALONG WITH SOME CU IN THE AFTERNOON. SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY A WEAKNESS ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA BRINGING VERY LOW
RAIN CHANCES WITH IT (FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUPPORTING VERY LIGHT
RAIN OR DRIZZLE AT BEST). THE NEXT POSSIBLE FRONT AFTER TONIGHT
WILL BE LATE MONDAY OR EARLY TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS
GENERALLY STALL THE FRONT OUT ACROSS THE AREA. EVEN THE FRONT
MAKING IT THIS FAR SOUTH SEEMS GENEROUS AT THIS POINT GIVEN THE
ZONAL FLOW. WILL LOOK FOR MORE MODEL CONSISTENCY IN THE FUTURE
BEFORE MAKING BIG CHANGES. 23

&&

.MARINE...
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO RELAX LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT APPROACHES SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE COAST LATE
TONIGHT WITH NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING. THE WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHEAST
AND INCREASE AROUND SUNRISE AND STAY RELATIVELY STRONG THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING. HAVE ISSUED A SCEC FOR THE GULF WATERS THROUGH
15Z AND FOR THE 20-60 NM WATERS THROUGH 21Z. ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. 43

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      40  63  41  69  56 /   0   0   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              43  65  41  70  57 /   0   0   0  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            52  63  52  68  62 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
     THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
     THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...23
AVIATION/MARINE...43


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