Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 121838
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
138 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014


.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD CU FIELD IN PLACE OVER THE AREA WITH CIGS OF
2700-4000FT SCATTERING OUT BELOW THE INVERSION WITH MOST SITES
VFR. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 10-18G20-26KT SHOULD PREVAIL THIS
AFTERNOON THEN DECREASE A LITTLE TONIGHT BUT CIGS WILL LOWER AND
WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS 1200-2000FT SHOULD DEVELOP BEFORE MIDNIGHT
AND THEN CONTINUE TO LOWER AS LLJ INTENSIFIES (MAY REACH LLWS NEAR
CLL) WAA INCREASES AND INVERSION LOWERS. LEAD S/W MOVES TOWARDS
THE AREA SUNDAY AROUND NOON AND SHOULD HELP TO DESTABILIZE AND
ERODE SOME OF THE STRONG CAP AND WILL PROBABLY SEE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AFTER 14Z. COLD FRONT HEADED TOWARD THE REGION MONDAY
MORNING AND ATTM EXPECT SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS 15Z-00Z TUE ALONG AND
AFTER THE FROPA.
45

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1014 AM CDT SAT APR 12 2014/

DISCUSSION...
ONSHORE FLOW HAS BROUGHT IN GULF MOISTURE AND HIGH HUMIDITY...WITH
SURFACE DEWPOINTS NOW RUNNING IN THE 60S ACROSS THE AREA...AND
CLOSE TO 70 AT THE COAST. EXPECT PARTIAL CLEARING THIS AFTERNOON
WITH PARTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING AS SOME OF THAT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE MIXES OUT...BUT WILL KEEP SOME CLOUD COVER. ALREADY
SEEING SOME CLEARING OVER COASTAL BRAZORIA...MATAGORDA AND JACKSON
COUNTIES. MAX TEMPS WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH SUN WE GET BUT GOING
FORECAST OF HIGHS AROUND 80 MOST SPOTS...A LITTLE COOLER AT
COAST...SEEMS ON TARGET. 46

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      65  79  65  65  40 /  20  40  30  40  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              66  78  70  71  45 /  10  30  40  50  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            68  75  70  70  50 /  10  20  30  50  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
     NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...46
AVIATION/MARINE...45



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