Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 251626
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1026 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MADE A COUPLE TWEAKS TO THE CLOUD GRIDS ON THE MORNING UPDATE. STILL
EXPECTING SKIES TO CLEAR OUT FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES
TODAY (ALREADY CLEAR AND SUNNY IN OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES). REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST PACKAGE LOOKS GOOD AND NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED NOW. 42
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 450 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
STILL QUITE A BIT OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING ACROSS SE TX EARLY
THIS MORNING. EXPECTING THE CLOUDS TO CLEAR LATE TODAY/TONIGHT AS
THE UPPER TROF SHIFTS EAST AND THE NWLY FLOW ALOFT DEEPENS. COOL/
DRY CONDITIONS PROGGED THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY. WARMER TEMPS AND
INCREASED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE LIKELY MORE NOTICEABLE BY FRI/SAT AS
THE ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS/STRENGTHENS. RAIN CHCS (ALBEIT LOW ONES)
RETURN SUN/MON WITH POSSIBLE WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVING IN FROM THE
INCREASINGLY W/SWLY FLOW ALOFT. WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE IF LONG
RANGE MODELS KEEP WITH THIS MORE EL NINO LIKE PATTERN THROUGH THE
MAJORITY OF NEXT WEEK. 41

MARINE...
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE FAR COASTAL WATERS WILL PEAK THIS
MORNING THEN GRADUALLY RELAX WITH SEAS LOWERING AS WELL. EXPECT
THAT THE SCA CONDITIONS OVER THE 20-60NM WATERS WILL END BY NOON
AND SCEC FOR 3-6 HOURS AFTER. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OUT INTO THE
GULF WEDNESDAY AND TURNS WINDS BACK TO THE SW/S AS A REINFORCING
WEAK COLD FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE STATE AND SHOULD BE INTO THE
COASTAL WATERS BY THURSDAY MORNING. IT WILL BE A SHORT LIVED
OFFSHORE PERIOD WITH GRADIENT TIGHTENING UP THE SOUTHERLY FLOW
OVER THE WEEKEND. SCECS IN THE GULF WATERS LOOK LIKELY BY LATE
SATURDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY.
45

AVIATION...
VFR.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      65  40  69  43  68 /  10   0   0   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              66  41  70  45  69 /  10   0   0   0   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            63  51  68  56  68 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL
     20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO
     60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO
     THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION/MARINE...14



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