Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 130244
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
944 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2014

.DISCUSSION...

COLD FRONT NEAR A UTS TO BRENHAM LINE AND SLOWLY ADVANCING
SOUTHEAST. WE ARE SEEING AN IMPRESSIVE BAND OF HEAVY RAINFALL
FROM NEAR MADISONVIILE TO BRYAN-COLLEGE STATION TO NEAR
SOMERVILLE...NEAR AND JUST BEHIND THE FRONT. BETTER RAIN CHANCES
WILL MIGRATE FROM THE NW AREAS TO THE COAST OVERNIGHT...AND BASED
ON SHORT-TERM MODEL GUIDANCE...DO NOT EXPECT THE FLASH FLOOD
THREAT TO EXTEND PAST MIDNIGHT. COULD STILL SEE SOME BRIEF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT AS IT PROGESSES SE
TONIGHT. MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO OVERNIGHT POPS BASED ON THE CURRENT
TRENDS. ALSO ADJUSTED MAX TEMPS DOWN A COUPLE OF DEGREES TOMORROW
BEHIND THE FRONT WITH CAA OCCURRING AND M CLOUDY SKIES. THE 18Z
GFS TEMP GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS COOLER TREND TOMORROW. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      65  78  68  86  71 /  80  30  20  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              73  84  69  88  73 /  50  40  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            79  85  77  86  81 /  60  40  20  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33


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