Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 260014
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
614 PM CST WED FEB 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE 00Z DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...
THE UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED LIGHT PRECIP HAS MOVED OUT OF THE
AREA. PREVAILING VFR THROUGH THURSDAY EXCEPT THE POSSIBILITY FOR
SOME SHALLOW FOG DEVELOPMENT TOWARD SUNRISE WITH CLR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS IN PLACE OVER RAIN DAMPENED SOIL. REINFORCING FRONT
PUSHES THRU THURS MORNING. WINDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON SHOULD BE
GUSTING TO NEAR 20 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT. 44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 PM CST WED FEB 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE
COUNTRY WILL KEEP A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVERHEAD THE AREA INTO NEXT
WEEK. THE MAIN ITEMS OF CONCERN IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF FOG TONIGHT
AND THE RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES OVER THE WEEKEND.

REGARDING FOG CHANCES TONIGHT...OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY FALL INTO THE 30S OVER THE INLAND AREAS. THE NAMBUFR
FORECAST SOUNDINGS DID INDICATE A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME JUST BEFORE
AND AROUND SUNRISE WHEN PATCHY SHALLOW GROUND FOG COULD FORM. FOR
NOW...THE POSSIBILITY LOOKS TOO SMALL TO MENTION. HOWEVER...WILL
RE-ACCESS ON THE EVENING SHIFT.

A REINFORCING FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. AFTER ONE
MORE COLD NIGHT...THE WINDS THEN SWING AROUND TO THE EAST ON
FRIDAY. THE WINDS SHOULD THEN SLOW BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY LATE
SATURDAY WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOPING SUNDAY. TOOK A BLEND OF
THE MODEL SOLUTION FOR RAIN CHANCES...WITH SLIGHT CHANCES FRIDAY
NIGHT...CHANCE POPS ON SATURDAY...AND THE BEST CHANCES SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY WHEN A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OVERHEAD. A
BUILDING RIDGE WILL HELP LOWER RAIN CHANCES MONDAY BEFORE RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM MID WEEK.

40

MARINE...
MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW AND SEAS WILL TEMPORARILY DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT. A REINFORCING FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE WATERS ON THURS
AND MAY NEED TO PULL THE CAUTION FLAGS OUT AGAIN. WINDS WILL VEER
BACK TO THE EAST FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND AND INCREASE TO
AROUND 25 KT. SEAS AND TIDE LEVELS WILL RISE IN RESPONSE - SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE REQUIRED. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      33  47  32  43  35 /  10  10  10  10  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              37  54  36  50  35 /  10  10  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            41  53  41  51  44 /  10  10  10  20  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...45
AVIATION/MARINE...44


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