Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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FXUS64 KLUB 200415
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1115 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

.AVIATION...
Moist southeast winds are still expected to procure MVFR and IFR
ceilings, albeit a bit later than originally expected due to earlier
drying a couple thousand feet aloft. Pattern is more supportive of
some fog over time and high resolution models have trended more
bullish with this particularly at LBB. Low clouds will mix out
from W-E by midday as a dryline settles near LBB and PVW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 922 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2016/

UPDATE...
Updated to remove a sliver of POPs in our northwest counties
this evening as earlier convection near Clovis has since
dissipated. Also scaled back stratus until after midnight as
recent drying from about 2000-8000 feet (in the wake of an upper
trough axis) has prevented aggressive re-saturation of this layer
despite continued moist southeasterly surface flow. Short term
models still favor low clouds resuming after midnight in addition
to improved prospects for some fog which was also inserted CWA-
wide thru mid-morning Friday.

&&

.LUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

93



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