Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 140901

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
301 AM CST Tue Nov 14 2017

Lee troughing to our west will strengthen through tonight and
surface winds will become more westerly. Both of these factors
should help to erode the low stratus deck that has persisted for the
past several days. Clearing skies and downsloping warming component
of the wind will result in warmer temperatures today. Expect clouds
to scatter west to east today, though confidence in timing is less
certain. Areas that see more sun earlier will warm more quickly with
the highest temps in the far southwestern Panhandle. Cold front is
still on track as a surface low moves southeast across the Panhandle
tonight. Timing of the front is earlier than previous models runs,
which is typical of fronts this time of year. The front will
approach our northern areas starting around 09Z and quickly move
south, clearing the CWA by early afternoon. Models are showing
stratus behind the front, though most of the moisture will stay to
our east. Cloud cover will keep low temperatures near 50 over the
Rolling Plains tomorrow night while areas on the Caprock with less
cloud coverage will fall to the upper 30s and low 40s.

Surface winds will begin to veer Thursday and the westerly warming
component will allow temperatures to rise to the upper 70s to low
80s on Friday. A tighter pressure gradient will increase wind
speeds on Friday. Above normal temperatures, gusty winds and low
relative humidities could result in enhanced fire weather concerns
for Friday afternoon. A midlevel shortwave trough moving out of
the Rockies will bring another cold front Friday night. Behind the
front high temperatures Saturday will be 15-20 degrees cooler
than Friday. Upper level ridging will build in behind the front,
keeping us dry with seasonal temperatures through early next week.




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