Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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FXUS64 KLUB 200214 AAA
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
914 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

.UPDATE...
UPDATED TO LOWER MIN TEMPS CONSIDERABLY TONIGHT FOR A STRONG COLD
FRONT NOW ENTERING THE FAR SOUTHERN TX PANHANDLE. ABUNDANT
STRATUS AND FOG AS LOW AS 1/2 MILE WAS NOTED BEHIND THIS FRONT AND
THE VISIBILITY AT HEREFORD PLUMMETED FROM 10 MILES TO JUST OVER 1
MILE IN 20 MINUTES. TEMPS IN THE 40S ALREADY ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE CONFIRM THE MAGNITUDE OF COLD ADVECTION...SO HAVE
UPDATED GRIDS LARGELY IN LINE WITH THE LATEST RAP AND HRRR
SOLUTIONS WHICH HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THESE TRENDS.

POP-WISE...DROPPED MOST PRECIP MENTION FROM THE CAPROCK
TONIGHT...HOWEVER WE STILL EXPECT SOME STORMS TO RE-DEVELOP WWD
TO NEAR THE I-27 AND HWY 87 CORRIDOR LATER TONIGHT AS THE COLD
FRONT AND TRAILING FRONT ALOFT INTERSECT DEEPER MOISTURE EAST OF
THE RETREATING DRYLINE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 643 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015/

AVIATION...
DETERIORATING CONDITIONS FROM N-S TONIGHT. CDS STANDS THE BEST
CHANCE OF TSRA THIS EVENING BEHIND A RECENT COLD FROPA. THIS
FRONT SHOULD IMPACT PVW AND LBB FROM 11PM-1AM FOLLOWED BY IFR
CIGS AND LIGHT FOG/MIST ON NE WINDS. COULD SEE TS REDEVELOP WWD
ALONG THIS FRONT TONIGHT...BUT THE CHANCES OF THESE IMPACTING LBB
AND PVW NOW APPEAR LESS. IFR CIGS MAY LINGER WELL INTO THE
AFTERNOON IN THIS COOL AND MOIST POST-FRONTAL FLOW...BUT MODELS
FAVOR MVFR BY LATE MORNING.

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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