Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FXUS65 KPUB 260534
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1134 PM MDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 205 PM MDT Sun Sep 25 2016

...Warm and Dry Monday...

Quiet weekend wx will continue through Monday as high pressure
builds over our area from the west. Subsidence aloft continues to
keep clouds at bay over most of CO today, and this will continue
through most of Monday. Will start to see some high clouds move in
from the south late on Monday as the upper low to our south slowly
shifts northward.

Should be on the chilly side tonight despite rising heights, due to
low humidity, no clouds, and light winds. Pretty much perfect
conditions for radiational cooling. Would not be surprised to
see some 30s over the low spots in the Plains. Some patchy frost
not out of the question, particularly for the low-lying spots.
Tomorrow, H7 temps will be about 4-5 degrees higher than they were
today, and with plenty of sun should see high temps rise well into
the 70s over the Plains and 60s high valleys once morning inversions
have mixed out. Winds will continue to be light. Rose

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 205 PM MDT Sun Sep 25 2016

An upper level ridge over the area will keep the wx dry thru Wed
morning. In the meantime, an upper low will be moving northward
from central Baja CA into southern NV. With this upper low moving
closer to CO on Wed, it is expected to bring an increase in
moisture to western CO late in the day. As a result, there wl be
the possibility of isold to sct pcpn along the Continental Divide
Wed afternoon and evening, while the rest of the area should
remain dry.

The upr low wl weaken late on Wed and become an open wave which is
expected to move northeastward thru UT and wrn CO, and then into WY
through Thu. On Thu, chances for pcpn wl mainly be west of the I-25
corridor.

On Fri an upper level ridge is forecast to be ovr nrn Mexico and
southwest TX, while an upr trof moves into the Pacific NW.  A weak
upper level disturbance is forecast to move over CO from the
southwest, bringing chances for pcpn to the mountains and nearby
lower elevations.  Some isold showers/tstms may move out acrs the
southeast plains Fri night and into Sat morning depending on the
speed of the disturbance.  A southerly moisture tap into the
forecast area, along with low level upslope over eastern areas will
likely lead to the potential for showers/tstm for much of the area,
although coverage should be isold.

On Sun the upper trof moves into the Great Basin which wl bring
stronger south to southwest winds to the forecast area.  There wl
also be the potential for some isolated pcpn over the mtns and high
valleys.

High temps each day in the extended period are expected to be a
little above average.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1122 PM MDT Sun Sep 25 2016

Upper ridging building into the western United States will allow
VFR conditions to continue over the KALS...KCOS and KPUB TAF sites
into Monday night.

&&

.PUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

NONE.

&&

$$


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