Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FXUS65 KPUB 210522

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1122 PM MDT Thu Oct 20 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 237 PM MDT Thu Oct 20 2016

Dry weather will continue across southeast and south central CO
tonight and Friday as an upper level ridge builds over the area.

Lows this morning across the southeast plains were in the upper 20s
to mid 30s, with the only widespread hard freeze occurring in
Huerfano and western Las animas counties and so we will no longer be
issuing freeze highlights for these two areas.  Tonight there will
again be some areas of temps around freezing or in the upper 20s.
Southern El Paso, portions of Pueblo and Crowley counties are
expected to see the coolest temps for the longest period of time
late tonight and early Fri, with readings in the upper 20s to around
31, so will issue a freeze warning for these locations.  With light
westerly breezes in western Pueblo county, these areas will probably
not see a freeze.  Portions of the far southeast plains should see
low temps in the lower 30s and they could see some areas of frost,
but not expecting a long period of freezing temps so will not issue
a highlight, but will mention some frost in the forecast.

On Friday, temps will be warmer and should be about 10 degrees above
average over the southeast plains, with about 5 degrees above
average in the San Luis Valley.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 237 PM MDT Thu Oct 20 2016

Generally quiet and dry conditions expected over Southern
Colorado, except for a fast moving disturbance Monday into

Friday night through Sunday...high pressure will remain in place
across Southern Colorado with dry conditions expected to prevail.
Temperatures will remain warm through the weekend with highs in
the upper 70s to lower 80s across the plains. Overnight lows will
be coldest Friday night, where mid 30s are forecast in the
Arkansas River Vally. This may lead to patchy frost in low lying
areas. Elsewhere, lows will fall into the lower 40s. Lower 40s are
expected Saturday and Sunday nights.

Monday through the upper ridge moves into the Central
Plains, a quick moving shortwave trough is forecast to impact the
region. Expect showers to develop over the Continental Divide by
Monday afternoon, and spread northeast into northeast Colorado on
Tuesday. For our area, showers look to remain confined to the
mountains, and perhaps a shower or two over the Palmer Divide.
Slightly cooler air over the region will keep afternoon highs both
days in the 70s. Snow levels will be high, with a couple inches
possible across the peaks.

Wednesday into Thursday...high pressure will rebuild across
Colorado through the middle and later half of the work week.
Expect dry conditions through the period with temperatures
remaining warm in the 70s.  Mozley


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1120 PM MDT Thu Oct 20 2016

VFR conditions are anticipated during the next 24h at all 3 taf
sites, kpub, kals and kcos. Winds will be light and diurnally


Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 9 AM MDT Friday for COZ085-086-089.



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