Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FXUS65 KPUB 151343
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
743 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 742 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Updated for expiration of freeze warning at 8 am.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 424 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Will leave the current Freeze Warning in effect for this morning
over the far southeast plains and eastern Fremont county.

Dry northwest flow aloft will be over the area today and tonight.
Temps today will be much cooler over the southeast plains, with
highs mostly in the lower to mid 60s.  The high valley and mtn areas
should see temps similar to, or a couple degrees warmer than
yesterday.  Winds today and tonight will mostly be 10 mph or less at
the lower elevations.

Some areas of the far southeast plains, mainly from around Highway
50 and north, could see temps dip into the upper 20s and lower 30s
tonight. Will have to see how low temps end up being this morning
before deciding if another freeze warning will be needed.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 424 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Not many adjustments required from previous meteorological
reasoning with generally dry and mild conditions anticipated from
Monday into Friday with increasing chances of precipitation,
gusty winds and somewhat cooler conditions expected by Saturday.

Latest computer simulations, forecast model soundings and
PV/Water Vapor analysis indicate that the forecast district should
continue to experience a generally dry northwesterly to zonal
upper flow pattern in combination with relatively persistent
eastern Colorado lee-side surface troughing from Monday into
Friday.

Then, next northerly surface surge in conjunction with an upper
disturbance is expected to produce increased precipitation chances
as well as windier and somewhat cooler conditions over many
portions of the forecast district by Saturday.

Above seasonal mid to latter October temperatures are anticipated
over the forecast district during the longer term with warmest
conditions expected Tuesday and Friday.

Finally, generally low-grade winds are projected over the
forecast district from Monday into Friday with increasing winds
then anticipated from later Friday into Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 424 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

VFR conditions are expected at KCOS, KPUB and KALS the next 24 hrs,
and wind should mostly be under 10 kts.


&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...28


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