Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 160237 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
937 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...

ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THIS EVENING...MAINLY TO HAVE
THE CURRENT FORECAST REFLECT CURRENT TEMP/DEWPOINT TRENDS. WILL
LEAVE FROST/FREEZE HEADLINES AS IS.

FORECASTED LOW TEMPERATURES STILL LOOK WITHIN REASON. ANOTHER
FREEZE WILL LIKELY BE SEEN ACROSS NORTH/NORTHEASTERN AREAS.
ELSEWHERE...LOWER TO MID 30S STILL LOOK GOOD WITH BETTER CHANCES
FOR FROST BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER THAN THIS
MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 630 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

AVIATION...

OVERALL VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL FILTER IN OVER AR. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM
THE N TO NE...THEN BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. WEDNESDAY
MORNING WINDS WILL BECOME SE AT 5 TO 10 MPH...THEN INCREASE DURING
THE DAY WEDNESDAY...BECOMING 8 TO 18 MPH. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE
SEEN OVER NORTHWESTERN AR. (59)

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 305 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT

AN UPPER TROUGH IS OVER THE EAST COAST WITH NORTHWEST FLOW OVER
THE REST OF THE COUNTRY. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL DEVELOP IN THE
PLAINS WEDNESDAY AND DEEPEN THURSDAY. BY FRIDAY...THE TROUGH MOVES
INTO THE APPALACHIANS AND AN UPPER RIDGE MOVES TO THE PLAINS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE HIGH WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA THURSDAY AND A SHORT WAVE WILL
APPROACH ARKANSAS THURSDAY NIGHT AND MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY. RAIN
CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. THERE
WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN CHANCES WILL
END IN THE EAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE REGION INITIALLY...BUT NEARLY ZONAL
FLOW WILL BRING THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
FORECAST. AFTER SOME LEFTOVER PRECIPITATION EARLY MONDAY...LOOKS
LIKE CLEARING LATER IN THE DAY. TUESDAY LOOKS FAIR AT THIS POINT. WE
WILL BE DEALING WITH PACIFIC AIR BEHIND THE SYSTEM...SO COOLING IS
NOT ANTICIPATED. IN FACT...AT/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     31  61  38  68 /   0   0   0  10
CAMDEN AR         32  65  40  70 /   0   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       31  62  37  65 /   0   0   0  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    33  64  40  68 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  34  63  40  68 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     33  64  40  70 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      33  64  40  67 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  31  62  37  66 /   0   0   0  20
NEWPORT AR        31  61  39  68 /   0   0   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     34  63  41  69 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   33  63  39  67 /   0   0   0  20
SEARCY AR         31  61  38  68 /   0   0   0  10
STUTTGART AR      34  62  40  69 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR BAXTER-BOONE-
CLEBURNE-FULTON-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-MARION-NEWTON-SEARCY-
SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF.


FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR ARKANSAS-
BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-
FAULKNER-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-
LOGAN-LONOKE-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-YELL.

&&

$$

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