Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 292336
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
636 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. PATCHY -RA BEGINNING IN
WRN AR BEFORE DAWN WED AND GRADULLY PROGRESSING EWD DURING THE
DAY. PATCHY MVFR DUE TO -RA OVER WRN 1/2 OF AR WED AFTERNOON.
BELIEVE INSTABILITY WILL BE TOO LIMITED FOR MENTION OF TS DURING THIS
FORECAST PERIOD.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 300 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
A FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STALLED TO THE SOUTH/WEST OF
ARKANSAS THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. MEANWHILE...A NORTHWEST
WIND FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING STORM SYSTEMS TOWARD THE REGION FROM
THE PLAINS THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE SYSTEMS WILL INTERACT WITH
THE FRONT...AND THAT WILL RESULT IN CLOUDS/RAIN.

RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES ON
WEDNESDAY...AND ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY. IT APPEARS RAIN WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY OVER THE
SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE STATE. IN THIS AREA...AMOUNTS WILL RANGE
FROM A HALF INCH TO OVER TWO INCHES. RAIN WILL BE MORE SCATTERED
ACROSS THE NORTH/EAST.

AS CLOUDS AND RAIN INCREASE...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL STAY DOWN.
IN FACT...PARTS OF THE WEST MAY NOT GET OUT OF THE 60S
WEDNESDAY...WITH THE SAME TRUE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ARKANSAS ON
THURSDAY. THIS WILL BE THE SECOND TIME THIS MONTH WE ARE
LOOKING AT POSSIBLE HISTORIC COOL HIGH TEMPERATURES.

RAIN WILL DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY...WITH CLOUDS BEGINNING
TO DECREASE.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
NW FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AT THE START OF THE LONG
TERM AS UPPER TROUGH REMAINS TO THE EAST. THIS WILL RESULT IN TEMPS
CONTINUING BELOW NORMAL FROM THE SHORT TERM. PRECIP CHANCES WILL
ALSO REMAIN LOW. OVER TIME...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST...WITH
LESS INFLUENCE EXPECTED OVER THE REGION. AS A RESULT...TEMPS WILL
GRADUALLY WARM BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...PRECIP CHANCES SHOULD
REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     62  80  63  76 /   0  40  40  30
CAMDEN AR         65  83  65  76 /   0  30  60  70
HARRISON AR       60  75  62  76 /  10  50  40  40
HOT SPRINGS AR    64  79  64  73 /  10  50  80  70
LITTLE ROCK   AR  64  80  65  74 /  10  50  70  70
MONTICELLO AR     62  84  65  76 /   0  20  50  70
MOUNT IDA AR      63  78  63  74 /  10  50  80  70
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  60  77  62  76 /   0  40  40  30
NEWPORT AR        61  80  64  76 /   0  30  30  40
PINE BLUFF AR     63  81  64  74 /   0  40  60  70
RUSSELLVILLE AR   63  78  64  74 /  10  50  70  60
SEARCY AR         62  81  64  75 /   0  40  50  50
STUTTGART AR      62  81  65  73 /   0  40  50  70
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...28





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