Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 261930
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
230 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE AXIS OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN MOSTLY IN PLACE FROM
THE SOUTHWESTERN US THROUGH THE HIGH PLAINS...WITH A PREDOMINANT
NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

AT THE SURFACE A SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BEGIN TO RETURN TO THE AREA ON
FRIDAY...WHILE A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST...AND WILL
LIKELY STALL OUT EARLY SATURDAY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST. THE MODELS ARE
HAVING A BIT OF TROUBLE RESOLVING EXACTLY HOW FAR SOUTH THE FRONT
WILL GET.

I AM GOING WITH 20-30 PCT POPS TO THE NRN AND NWRN ZONES FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE FRONT AND THE
SHORTWAVE.

&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
ONCE AGAIN...NO SIG CHGS TO THE GOING FCST AS MODEL SOLUTIONS RMN
IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A WEAK FNTL BNDRY WL CONT TO FALL APART ACRS
THE AREA ON SUN. DUE TO A LACK OF SIG MOISTURE...EXPECT JUST SOME
LINGERING CLOUDS AND LTL IN THE WAY OF ASSOCD RAINFALL.

HEADING INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK...THE SFC RDG WL EVENTUALLY
SHIFT E OF AR...ALLOWING SLY WINDS/LOW LVL MOISTURE TO RETURN.
MEANWHILE...AN UPR LVL SHEAR AXIS BE SITUATED OVR THE MID SOUTH WITH
WITH SLGT CHCS OF CONVECTION MAINLY DURG THE AFTN AND EARLY EVENING
HRS.

TEMPS WL START OFF THE PD CLOSE TO NORMAL...WITH MOST AREAS SEEING
SLGTLY ABV NORMAL READINGS BY TUE AND WED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     59  84  61  85 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         62  89  62  89 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       57  83  61  83 /   0   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    63  88  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  62  87  63  89 /   0   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     61  87  63  89 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      61  89  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  58  83  61  84 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR        57  83  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     60  86  62  88 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   62  87  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR         59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      59  85  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$
SHORT TERM...53 / LONG TERM...44



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