Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 262037
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
237 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN CONCERNS THIS FORECAST CYCLE ARE LIMITED WITH OVERALL DRY
CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK...WHILE SOME POSSIBLY OVER
THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL OVERALL BE ABOVE NORMAL.

THE LOW CLOUDS HAVE THINNED AND MOVED EAST TODAY...BRINGING ALL
SUNNY SKIES TO AR. SURFACE HIGH OVER THE REGION HAS ALSO BROUGHT
DRY AND MUCH LESS WINDY CONDITIONS. DEWPOINT TEMPS WERE IN THE
UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES...WHILE 12Z KLZK SOUNDING HAD A
PRECIP WATER OF 0.33 INCHES WITH THE NW FLOW. PRECIP WATER VALUE
WILL BE LOWER AS MORNING SOUNDING HAD THE STRATUS DECK AROUND 3200
FEET THIS MORNING. RH VALUES HAVE LOWERED THIS AFTERNOON BUT DUE
TO LIGHT WINDS...HAVE NOT SEE THE LOWER VALUES EXPECTED WITH ONLY
SOME AREAS SEEING RH VALUES INTO THE 30S PERCENT RANGE. TEMPS WERE
WARNING INTO THE 50S WITH SOME 60S IN THE WEST. ALOFT THE DEEP
UPPER TROUGH WAS OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD...WHILE NW UPPER FLOW
INTO AR.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT

OVERALL A DRY FORECAST WITH ABOVE NORMAL TO AROUND NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED. A WEAK COLD FRONT SAGS THROUGH MAINLY
EASTERN AR TONIGHT TO TUESDAY...WITH ONLY A WIND SHIFT TO THE
NW...SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS...AND JUST A BIT COOLER TEMPS IN THE
EAST TO NORTHEAST. THE UPPER NW FLOW HOLDS FOR THE REGION UNTIL
THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
SWINGS THROUGH AR LATE WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY...WITH AGAIN LIMITED
MOISTURE AND ONLY A WIND SHIFT WITH A BIT COOLER TEMPS EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY

AFTER ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WERE SEEN FOR MOST OF THE SHORT
TERM...THE LONG TERM BEGINS WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
MINNESOTA...BRINGING COOL NORTH WINDS AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
BACK TO THE REGION. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE TO THE EAST
ALLOWING MOISTURE TO INCREASE AROUND THE REGION.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON SATURDAY...AND WITH
COLD AIR IN PLACE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL TAPER OFF LATE SUNDAY WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES REMAINING THROUGH THE END OF THE LONG TERM. THIS FAR
OUT...ITS STILL TOO DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT EXACT PRECIP TYPE...SO
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND FINE TUNE IN FUTURE FORECASTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     38  57  34  58 /   0   0   0  10
CAMDEN AR         40  67  39  64 /   0   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       37  60  38  63 /   0   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    39  66  38  64 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  39  63  35  62 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     39  63  37  63 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      39  67  38  65 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  36  58  35  60 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        36  56  33  57 /   0   0   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     39  62  36  63 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   38  64  36  62 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         37  59  33  59 /   0   0   0  10
STUTTGART AR      37  60  34  61 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...59 / LONG TERM...65




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.