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461
FXUS64 KLZK 181954
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
254 PM CDT Tue Jul 18 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected through
Wednesday morning.

There will be a mix of clouds and sun
this afternoon, with scattered cumulus
between 4000 and 5000 feet. It will be
mostly clear tonight, with a few patches
of fog toward dawn Wednesday.

Winds will be south/southeast at 4 to 8 mph
this afternoon, and light and variable
tonight. (46)
&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Thursday
A ridge of high pressure and heat will be the
story of the near term. There will be sunny
to partly sunny days and mostly clear nights.
Above average temperatures are in the forecast,
with little to no precipitation.

Thursday will be the hotter of the two days
this period. Even so, afternoon heat index
values will range from the upper 90s to
around 105 degrees in central/southern sections
of Arkansas. Given this, a Heat Advisory will
probably not be needed.
&&

.LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Tuesday
Not much to add from the discussion yesterday, as no major elements
of the extended forecast have changed. Upper level ridge will
persist across the area at the beginning of the term, and will shift
westward by the weekend. This will put the area under a
northwesterly flow aloft, and a shortwave moving across the ridge
will bring some precip chances to the area starting late in the
weekend.

Models are showing a bit more consistency now in the handling of a
cold front dropping down across the Ozarks. For the most part it
appears that the front will likely stall out north of the area, but
this will likely increase rain chances across the northern tier of
zones.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     72  94  73  96 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         74  97  74  97 /  10  10   0   0
Harrison AR       71  92  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    74  94  74  97 /   0  10   0   0
Little Rock   AR  75  95  75  97 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     74  95  74  95 /  10  10   0   0
Mount Ida AR      71  93  71  95 /   0  10   0   0
Mountain Home AR  70  94  72  96 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        73  95  73  95 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     74  95  74  96 /  10  10   0   0
Russellville AR   73  96  73  97 /   0  10   0   0
Searcy AR         72  94  73  96 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      74  94  73  95 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...46 / Long Term...53