Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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638
FXUS64 KLZK 241949
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
249 PM CDT Wed May 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...Today Through Friday
Upper low pressure over southern Missouri will move through
northeast Arkansas this evening and then into Ohio Thursday morning.
An upper ridge will build over Arkansas for Thursday and Thursday
night but moves east of the area Friday.

Scattered showers will continue over the eastern half of the area
through sunset before dissipating. These showers will be light to
moderate. Surface high pressure will build over Arkansas tonight
behind the low pressure system. Dry weather is expected for
Thursday. Another cold front will move through the Plains Friday and
as moisture increases over Arkansas rain chances will increase in
the north. A warming trend will begin on Thursday with highs
reaching the mid 70s to mid 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...Friday Night Through Wednesday
Main forecast challenge is the timing of any strong to severe
convection to affect the forecast area during the Saturday time
frame.

Explicit output from medium range models continues to show this
potential, indicated by strong instability and bulk shear to support
organized storms, along with sufficient forcing, aided by an
approaching cold front. Storm potential will be affected by any
preceding MCS type activity, that would contribute to significant
local convective overturning.

Near normal temperatures will prevail during this period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     50  77  63  83 /  10   0   0  20
Camden AR         50  83  67  89 /  10   0   0  10
Harrison AR       47  77  62  81 /  10   0  10  20
Hot Springs AR    49  81  66  86 /  10   0   0  10
Little Rock   AR  51  80  65  87 /  10   0   0  10
Monticello AR     52  81  66  89 /  10   0   0  10
Mount Ida AR      48  81  66  86 /   0   0   0  10
Mountain Home AR  47  77  61  81 /  10   0  10  20
Newport AR        51  78  64  84 /  10   0   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     51  80  65  88 /  10   0   0  10
Russellville AR   49  80  65  83 /  10   0  10  10
Searcy AR         51  79  64  85 /  10   0   0  10
Stuttgart AR      53  79  66  87 /  20   0   0  10
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...51 / Long Term...55



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