Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 250000
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
600 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP DOWN FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS
BEFORE SHUNTING OFF TO THE EAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRUSH NORTH TO
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO
THE NORTHERN TAF SITES. OTHERWISE WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH WINDS TURNING MORE NORTHWEST WITH TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 302 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL U.S. AN UPPER LOW
WILL MOVE INTO THE PLAINS SUNDAY THEN TO THE EAST COAST MONDAY. AN
UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE ROCKIES MONDAY AND WILL SLOWLY MOVE
INTO THE PLAINS TUESDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE AND SUNSHINE ARE OVER THE AREA AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AND THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS IN THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. LESS THAN A
TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED. WEST AND NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. HIGHS ON
SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW 50S TO MID 60S.

DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT...AND MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL START WITH MILD AND DRY WEATHER ON
WEDNESDAY. A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTH
THURSDAY...AND THAT WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR. AT THIS
POINT...IT APPEARS THE FRONT WILL GO THROUGH DRY. AS THE PERIOD ENDS
NEXT WEEKEND...DATA IS SHOWING AT LEAST THE POSSIBILITY OF UNSETTLED
WEATHER. ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AIR WILL BE INCOMING...WITH MOISTURE
INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THERE IS MENTION OF A WINTRY MIX IN
THE FORECAST...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS POINT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     40  54  32  53 /  20  30  10   0
CAMDEN AR         39  62  37  58 /  10  10   0   0
HARRISON AR       41  47  30  54 /  20  30  10   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    39  58  35  57 /  10  10   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  39  58  34  55 /  10  10  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     39  60  37  55 /  10  10   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      40  56  34  58 /  10  10   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  41  49  31  53 /  20  30  10   0
NEWPORT AR        38  54  33  52 /  20  30  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     38  59  35  54 /  10  10  10   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   37  56  32  57 /  10  20  10   0
SEARCY AR         37  55  32  53 /  20  20  10   0
STUTTGART AR      37  57  34  53 /  10  10  10   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...56





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