Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 270000
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
700 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

.AVIATION...27/00Z TAF CYCLE

Kept VCTS in for a few locations early this evening based on radar
trends. Outflow bndry working WWD into CNTRL AR wl produce brief
wind gusts at KLIT and KPBF. Otherwise...convection is expected to
diminish soon aft sunset with VFR conds prevailing thru the pd.
Patchy fog wl form arnd dawn...with VSBYS briefly dropping to MVFR
lvls in some areas. SCTD aftn convection possible again on Sat...
but coverage does not warrant a mention of TS in the TAFs. /44/
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 236 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016)

SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Sunday
Data from local radars indicate an area of weak convection across
extreme western Arkansas, with stronger activity approaching from
northwest Mississippi and western Tennessee. An outflow boundary
was noted from near Clinton, to Searcy, which still may provide a
focus for convection through early evening.

An upper level ridge, centered over the mid-Atlantic
region...will slowly build over the mid south during the rest of
this period. This should allow for a decrease in diurnally
enhanced convection each day. The best chance of any development
will be over extreme northwest sections, in the closest proximity
any mesoscale boundaries that develop from midwest U.S.
convection.

Near normal temperatures will continue during this period.

LONG TERM...Sunday Night Through Friday
Unfortunately, it`s still summer. So, we will continue with above
average temperatures, and widely scattered, diurnally-driven
convection. Fortunately, surface flow primarily out of the
northeast, and (depending on where upper ridging sets up) upper flow
out of the northwest, should keep us from heating up insanely.
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$



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