Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 240310
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1010 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.UPDATE...

JUST A FEW RETURNS ON RADAR NOTED ACRS THE SRN PART OF THE FA ATTM...
WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES NOTED ELSEWHERE. CDFNT WL SLOLY
DRIFT SWD THRU MUCH OF THE FA OVERNIGHT AND INTO THU MRNG. ADDED
PTCHY FOG TO THE FCST THRU THE EARLY MRNG HRS. SLGT ADJUSTMENTS TO
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS. HRLY TEMPS WERE
UPDATED ACCORDINGLY TO REFLECT THESE CHGS. REST OF FCST IN GOOD
SHAPE. ALL UPDATES HAVE BEEN SENT. /44/
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 701 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

AVIATION...

A STRONG LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVED THROUGH THIS
STATE THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT CONDITIONS SHOW THE LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT KLLQ WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. THE LEADING
EDGE OF THESE STORMS HAVE PRODUCED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40-50KTS.

ACROSS THE NORTH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR THIS EVENING...WITH
CLEARING SPREADING SOUTH. SOME MODELS WERE SUGGESTING SOME LIGHT
PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...HOWEVER WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN ELEVATED ENOUGH THAT DENSE FOG SHOULD NOT
BE AN ISSUE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 228 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WITH A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD MOVE SLOWLY AND PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN AND UP TO 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL. EXPECT PRECIPITATION
TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

DRIER AIR WILL BE USHERED INTO THE STATE BEHIND THE FRONT. NO RAIN
IS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTH. THURSDAY WILL BE A
BIT COOLER...THEN A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS BRIEFLY.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SUNDAYS COLD FRONT IS LOOKING EVEN LESS IMPRESSIVE...QPF WISE...THAN
IT DID THIS TIME YESTERDAY AND LOWERED POPS ACCORDINGLY. HOWEVER...
NORTHWEST FLOW FOLLOWING FROPA WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER COOL DOWN TO
LINGER THROUGH THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF THE WORK WEEK. ADDED SOME
SLIGHT POPS TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD AS THE UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN AMPLIFIES AND THE NEXT SYSTEM BUILDS OVER THE OK/TX
PANHANDLES.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$




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