Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 281132
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
632 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...

A FEW LOCATIONS OF PATCHY FOG ARE BEING OBSERVED AROUND THE
NATURAL STATE THIS MORNING. ANY PATCHY FOG WILL BURN OFF BY MID
MORNING. PRECIPITATION IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN IN THE COMING HOURS, WITH NO PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR
THIS TAF PERIOD. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 412 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
A STORM SYSTEM ALOFT WAS HEADING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO
THE UPPER MIDWEST EARLY THIS MORNING. THE SYSTEM WAS MOVING AROUND
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES. A WEAK
COLD FRONT TIED TO THE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST...
AND WILL TRIGGER ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT/SATURDAY.

OTHERWISE...IT LOOKS LIKE A MOSTLY DRY NEAR TERM...WITH SLOW
WARMING AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTHWEST SLOWLY BUILDS IN
THIS DIRECTION. TEMEPRATURES WILL BE A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL
TODAY...BUT WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL AS THE WEEKEND
PROGRESSES.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
FEW CHANGES ARE MADE TO THE LONG TERM WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDING INTO THE REGION. GFS AND ECMWF VARY QUITE A BIT IN THEIR
HANDLING OF A WEAK CLOSED LOW TO THE SW OF THE STATE. 00Z GFS HAS
REMAINED FAIRLY CONSISTENT OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS WITH THE 00Z ECMWF
COMING BACK DRIER. AT THIS POINT...WILL KEEP DIURNAL POPS IN THE
FORECAST BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE TRENDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     86  66  89  69 /   0  10  20  10
CAMDEN AR         90  65  92  67 /   0   0  10  10
HARRISON AR       84  65  85  66 /   0  30  30  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    88  67  90  70 /   0  10  20  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  89  67  91  70 /   0  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     90  66  91  69 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      89  65  90  67 /   0  10  20  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  85  65  87  67 /   0  20  30  20
NEWPORT AR        86  66  89  68 /   0  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     89  66  91  68 /   0   0  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   88  67  90  68 /   0  20  20  10
SEARCY AR         87  65  90  68 /   0  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      88  66  90  68 /   0   0  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...65


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