Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 230903
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
403 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2016

.SHORT TERM...Today Through Tuesday Night
A strong upper ridge will be over Arkansas today, with an upper low
over the east coast and over the Pacific Northwest. This pattern
will continue through Tuesday.

An MCS continues across central and southern Oklahoma this morning.
The northern portion is weakening while the southern portion
continues to build eastward. This may affect Arkansas by mid
day...but would expect weakening by the time it reaches Arkansas.
Models indicate unsettled weather to start the week. Another MCS
should develop in eastern Oklahoma tonight and affect Arkansas
overnight into Tuesday. Yet another short wave will continue the
rain chances into and through Tuesday night. Highs today and Tuesday
will be in the 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...Wednesday Through Sunday
The extended period will feature ridging over central/eastern
sections of the country, with troughing out west. Between these
features will be a front in the Plains that will remain stalled
through much of the long term.

East of the front, have isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms in the forecast each day. By Friday/Saturday, there
are indications that a system aloft will rotate around the base of
the western trough, and will bring better chances of rain
locally.

Even so, widespread heavy rain is not expected at this time. If
there is any severe weather, it will be spotty. Temperatures will
tend to be above average.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     82  62  82  68 /  10  20  40  30
Camden AR         85  66  86  71 /  20  20  30  20
Harrison AR       80  62  80  66 /  20  20  40  30
Hot Springs AR    82  65  83  70 /  20  20  30  20
Little Rock   AR  83  65  84  70 /  10  20  30  30
Monticello AR     85  65  87  70 /  10  20  30  20
Mount Ida AR      81  65  82  70 /  20  20  30  20
Mountain Home AR  81  61  81  66 /  10  20  40  30
Newport AR        83  62  83  68 /  10  20  40  30
Pine Bluff AR     83  65  85  70 /  10  20  30  20
Russellville AR   82  64  82  69 /  20  20  40  30
Searcy AR         82  63  84  69 /  10  20  40  30
Stuttgart AR      83  65  85  70 /  10  20  30  20
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...51 / Long Term...46


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